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ELECTIONS
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
MarketPays outOdds
Gavin Newsom5.56x18%
Jon Ossoff6.67x15%
$6.5M vol45 more
News·2028 Democratic Presidential Primary: Latest Polls — The New York Times
Gavin Newsom18%Jon Ossoff15%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%
KalshiTop events
Market integrityLearn how we keep markets fairMarkets over MonopoliesFair markets protect consumersResponsible tradingTools and tips for trading smart
Politics
POLITICSWho will be Trump's next Attorney General?
Jan 20 @ 10:00AM
Todd Blanche
1.00x100%
Yaakov Roth
100.00x1%
Rudy Giuliani
100.00x1%
No one
100.00x1%
$3.7M vol23 markets
POLITICSWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Jun 2 @ 9:59AM
Before Jul 1, 2027
1.47x68%
Before Apr 1, 2027
1.67x60%
Before Jan 1, 2027
2.04x49%
Before Dec 1, 2026
2.63x38%
$2.9M vol13 markets
POLITICSWho will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Jun 19 @ 10:08AM
Tulsi Gabbard
1.00x100%
Todd Blanche
1.01x99%
Amy Gleason
2.33x43%
Howard Lutnick
3.23x31%
$2.0M vol33 markets
POLITICSWhich leaders will leave office in 2026?
Jun 22 @ 1:22PM
Gustavo Petro
1.00x100%
Keir Starmer
1.00x100%
Aleksandar Vučić
1.06x94%
Benjamin Netanyahu
2.33x43%
$1.2M vol37 markets
Elections
ELECTIONSLos Angeles Mayor winner?
Jun 8 @ 7:59PM
Karen Bass
1.54x65%
Nithya Raman
2.94x34%
Spencer Pratt
—0%
Rick Caruso
—0%
$13.2M vol10 markets
ELECTIONSWhich party will win the U.S. House?
Feb 1 @ 10:00AM
Democratic Party
1.19x84%
Republican Party
6.25x16%
$9.4M vol2 markets
ELECTIONS2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Nov 7 @ 10:00AM
Gavin Newsom
5.56x18%
Jon Ossoff
6.67x15%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
7.14x14%
Kamala Harris
10.00x10%
$6.5M vol47 markets
ELECTIONSWill the Citrini scenario happen?
Jul 1 @ 10:00AM
Yes
4.76x21%
$5.4M vol1 market
Sports
SPORTS2027 Pro Football Champion
Feb 13 @ 6:30PM
Los Angeles R
6.25x16%
Buffalo
12.50x8%
Seattle
12.50x8%
Baltimore
14.29x7%
$2.9M vol32 markets
SPORTSPro Baseball Champion
Oct 31 @ 12:00AM
Los Angeles D
2.78x36%
Boston
8.33x12%
New York Y
11.11x9%
Milwaukee
11.11x9%
$2.7M vol30 markets
SPORTSWyndham Championship Winner
Aug 4 @ 2:00PM
Beau Hossler
6.67x15%
Jordan L. Smith
7.14x14%
Benjamin James
7.69x13%
Doug Ghim
20.00x5%
$1.4M vol153 markets
SPORTS2027 Pro Basketball Champion
Jul 30 @ 10:00AM
San Antonio
4.00x25%
Oklahoma City
4.35x23%
Philadelphia
9.09x11%
New York
11.11x9%
$1.3M vol30 markets
Economics
ECONOMICSMore tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
Mar 1 @ 10:00AM
Yes
1.09x92%
$28.9M vol1 market
ECONOMICSNumber of rate cuts in 2026?
Dec 31 @ 11:59PM
Exactly 0 cuts
1.15x87%
Exactly 1 cut
8.33x12%
Exactly 2 cuts
33.33x3%
Exactly 14 cuts
100.00x1%
$2.0M vol21 markets
ECONOMICSNext Fed rate hike?
Jun 30 @ 11:59PM
Before 2028
1.27x79%
Before July 2027
1.39x72%
Before 2027
1.75x57%
Before July 2026
100.00x1%
$1.5M vol4 markets
ECONOMICSFed decision in Sep 2026?
Sep 16 @ 1:59PM
Fed maintains rate
1.54x65%
Hike 25bps
2.78x36%
Cut >25bps
100.00x1%
Cut 25bps
50.00x2%
$1.4M vol5 markets
Companies
COMPANIESWho will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
Jun 30 @ 11:59PM
Paramount
1.47x68%
None before July 2027
3.70x27%
Netflix
33.33x3%
$1.5M vol3 markets
COMPANIESWhich companies will the US take a stake in this year?
Dec 31 @ 11:59PM
GlobalFoundries
1.25x80%
Rigetti Computing
1.35x74%
D-Wave Quantum
1.32x76%
Performance Drone Works
3.23x31%
$204.1k vol21 markets
COMPANIESWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
Jun 30 @ 11:59PM
Before 2027
4.76x21%
Before October
11.11x9%
Before July
100.00x1%
$182.6k vol3 markets
COMPANIESWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
May 31 @ 11:59PM
Before Apr 1, 2027
1.18x85%
Before Mar 1, 2027
1.23x81%
Before Feb 1, 2027
1.32x76%
Before Jan 1, 2027
1.47x68%
$123.9k vol11 markets
Entertainment
ENTERTAINMENTGrand Theft Auto VI: Release date
May 31 @ 11:59PM
Before January 2028
1.04x96%
Before July 2027
1.04x96%
Before 2027
1.12x89%
Before December 2026
1.15x87%
$1.1M vol10 markets
ENTERTAINMENTOscar Winner: Best Picture
Dec 31 @ 10:00AM
The Odyssey
2.08x48%
Dune: Part Three
5.56x18%
The Black Ball
14.29x7%
Digger
16.67x6%
$619.4k vol38 markets
ENTERTAINMENTpetal: First Week Album Equivalent Units
Aug 9 @ 10:00AM
Above 100K
1.01x99%
Above 150K
1.01x99%
Above 200K
1.01x99%
Above 220K
1.01x99%
$358.1k vol31 markets
ENTERTAINMENTAvengers: Doomsday: Cast
Jul 28 @ 3:38PM
Kathryn Newton as Cassie Lang?
1.03x97%
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?
1.15x87%
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?
1.16x86%
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?
1.16x86%
$335.6k vol20 markets
Science and Technology
SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGYWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Jul 1 @ 10:00AM
Before Jan 20, 2029
4.35x23%
Before 2028
6.25x16%
Before 2027
12.50x8%
Before December
16.67x6%
$2.4M vol9 markets
SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGYBest AI at the end of 2026?
Dec 31 @ 10:00AM
Claude
1.54x65%
ChatGPT
5.88x17%
Gemini
14.29x7%
Grok
20.00x5%
$1.7M vol8 markets
SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGYMeasles cases in 2026?
Jun 9 @ 12:31PM
Above 1500
1.01x99%
Above 1750
1.01x99%
Above 2000
1.01x99%
Above 3000
1.11x90%
$469.2k vol8 markets
SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGYWhich AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Dec 31 @ 10:00AM
Anthropic
1.61x62%
OpenAI
3.23x31%
xAI
11.11x9%
Google
50.00x2%
$218.4k vol9 markets
Climate and Weather
CLIMATE AND WEATHERWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
Dec 31 @ 11:59PM
Hottest
1.49x67%
$179.4k vol1 market
CLIMATE AND WEATHERHurricane Fausto category?
Jul 25 @ 9:40AM
Category 1 or above
1.01x99%
Category 2 or above
1.01x99%
Category 3 or above
100.00x1%
Category 4 or above
100.00x1%
$48.1k vol5 markets
CLIMATE AND WEATHERWhat will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
Dec 30 @ 10:00AM
Oil
1.61x62%
Coal
10.00x10%
Gas
7.69x13%
Nuclear
14.29x7%
$33.1k vol10 markets
CLIMATE AND WEATHERThis Jul 2026 is the hottest July ever?
Aug 15 @ 11:59PM
Hottest ever
5.88x17%
$23.1k vol1 market