Tech & Science
SPACEWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Jul 1 @ 10:00AM
Before Jan 20, 2029
4.35x23%
Before 2028
5.88x17%
Before 2027
12.50x8%
Before December
16.67x6%
$2.3M vol9 markets
AIBest AI at the end of 2026?
Dec 31 @ 10:00AM
Claude
1.52x66%
ChatGPT
5.88x17%
Gemini
14.29x7%
Grok
20.00x5%
$1.7M vol8 markets
AIWhen will Anthropic release Mythos?
Jun 14 @ 11:59PM
Before Jan 1, 2027
5.88x17%
Before Dec 1, 2026
8.33x12%
Before Nov 1, 2026
10.00x10%
Before Oct 1, 2026
20.00x5%
$97.0k vol8 markets
PUBLIC HEALTHWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
Dec 31 @ 11:59PM
In Dec 31, 2026
16.67x6%
$104.7k vol1 market
AIWhich AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Dec 31 @ 10:00AM
Anthropic
1.61x62%
OpenAI
3.23x31%
xAI
11.11x9%
Google
50.00x2%
$218.4k vol9 markets
SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGYMeasles cases in 2026?
Jun 9 @ 12:31PM
Above 1500
1.01x99%
Above 1750
1.01x99%
Above 2000
1.01x99%
Above 3000
1.11x90%
$467.5k vol8 markets
ENERGYUS grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
Dec 31 @ 11:59PM
Grants license
7.69x13%
$95.6k vol1 market
AIWhen will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Dec 31 @ 11:59PM
Before 2030
2.56x39%
Before 2028
5.56x18%
Before 2027
20.00x5%
$108.6k vol3 markets
SPACEHow many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Jan 1 @ 10:00AM
Above 120
1.03x97%
Above 140
1.06x94%
Above 150
1.30x77%
Above 160
3.23x31%
$165.0k vol9 markets
SPACENASA lands on the moon?
Dec 31 @ 11:59PM
Before 2030
2.08x48%
Before 2029
4.00x25%
Before 2028
50.00x2%
Before 2027
100.00x1%
$16.7k vol4 markets
AIWhen will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?
Jun 29 @ 11:59PM
Before Aug 31, 2026
1.89x53%
Before Aug 21, 2026
4.35x23%
Before Aug 16, 2026
12.50x8%
Before Jul 10, 2026
20.00x5%
$61.2k vol10 markets
TRUMPWill the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
Dec 31 @ 11:59PM
Any psychedelic substance for medical use
3.57x28%
$102.1k vol1 market
BIG TECH & BUSINESSTesla Optimus released this year?
Dec 30 @ 11:59PM
Before 2027
7.69x13%
$44.6k vol1 market
AIWhen will OpenAI release GPT-6?
May 31 @ 11:59PM
Before 2027
1.16x86%
Before Nov 1, 2026
1.49x67%
Before Oct 1, 2026
1.72x58%
Before Sep 1, 2026
5.88x17%
$135.7k vol7 markets
PUBLIC HEALTHWhich countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
Dec 31 @ 11:59PM
South Sudan
1.82x55%
Republic of the Congo
3.70x27%
Burundi
4.55x22%
Rwanda
5.00x20%
$75.1k vol16 markets
AIWhich companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
Jan 1 @ 10:00AM
OpenAI
2.78x36%
xAI
5.26x19%
Moonshot AI
6.67x15%
Meta
7.14x14%
$64.8k vol12 markets
SPACEWhen will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
Jun 1 @ 10:00AM
Before 2027
6.67x15%
Before December
12.50x8%
Before October
50.00x2%
Before June
100.00x1%
$7.4k vol8 markets
SPACEHow many launches will SpaceX have in August?
Sep 1 @ 10:00AM
Above 10
1.06x94%
Above 11
1.04x96%
Above 12
1.20x83%
Above 13
1.79x56%
$83.7k vol9 markets
AIBest AI this week
Aug 10 @ 10:00AM
Claude
1.01x99%
MUSE
50.00x2%
Gemini
100.00x1%
ChatGPT
100.00x1%
$49.9k vol9 markets
SPACEWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
Jan 1 @ 10:00AM
United States
1.69x59%
China
2.13x47%
India
25.00x4%
Russia
100.00x1%
$69.1k vol5 markets
AITop AI model this week
Aug 10 @ 10:00AM
claude-opus-5-max
1.04x96%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
100.00x1%
claude-opus-5-high
50.00x2%
claude-opus-4-7
100.00x1%
$12.8k vol5 markets
BIG TECH & BUSINESSWhat kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
Jan 1 @ 10:00AM
Earbuds/Headphones
5.88x17%
Clip-on device for clothing
5.88x17%
Ring
7.14x14%
Necklace
14.29x7%
$17.6k vol10 markets
SPACEWill a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
Dec 31 @ 11:59PM
Before 2030
1.89x53%
$71.8k vol1 market
AIWill a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
Jan 1 @ 10:00AM
Before 2027
11.11x9%
$10.8k vol1 market
PUBLIC HEALTHHow many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
Jan 1 @ 9:59AM
Above 0
3.45x29%
Above 1
8.33x12%
Above 2
9.09x11%
Above 3
20.00x5%
$13.0k vol6 markets
AIBest AI in Aug 2026?
Aug 31 @ 10:00AM
Claude
1.08x93%
ChatGPT
16.67x6%
Gemini
33.33x3%
Grok
100.00x1%
$24.4k vol7 markets
AIWhich AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
Jan 1 @ 10:00AM
Claude
4.55x22%
ChatGPT
20.00x5%
Other
25.00x4%
Gemini
33.33x3%
$12.6k vol8 markets
PHYSICS & MATHWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
Jan 1 @ 10:00AM
Before 2035
2.86x35%
Before 2032
4.35x23%
Before 2030
5.26x19%
Before 2028
16.67x6%
$12.6k vol4 markets
SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGYWhat will be the price of a foldable iPhone?
Jan 1 @ 10:00AM
At least $1800
1.11x90%
At least $2000
1.39x72%
At least $2200
1.89x53%
$62.9k vol3 markets
AIWill OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
Jan 1 @ 10:00AM
Before 2027
4.17x24%
$23.0k vol1 market
AIPrice of NVIDIA H200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
Jun 22 @ 12:45PM
Above $1.29
1.01x99%
Above $1.59
1.01x99%
Above $1.89
1.01x99%
Above $2.19
1.01x99%
$82.4k vol20 markets
BIG TECH & BUSINESSWill Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
Jan 1 @ 10:00AM
Before 2030
1.59x63%
$57.6k vol1 market
BIG TECH & BUSINESSWill SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
Jan 1 @ 10:00AM
Before 2030
3.85x26%
$22.1k vol1 market
AIAI capability growth this year?
Jan 1 @ 10:00AM
At least 1520 score
1.67x60%
At least 1530 score
2.38x42%
At least 1540 score
3.23x31%
At least 1550 score
4.55x22%
$18.2k vol8 markets
MEDICINEWhen will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
Jun 30 @ 11:59PM
Before 2027
1.72x58%
Before November
2.22x45%
Before September
5.56x18%
Before July
100.00x1%
$20.1k vol4 markets
AIWill Meta release Llama 5 this year?
Jan 1 @ 10:00AM
Before 2027
9.09x11%
$8.3k vol1 market
AIWhen will Anthropic release the next Mythos-Class model?
Jul 31 @ 11:59PM
Before Oct 1, 2026
1.52x66%
Before Nov 1, 2026
1.56x64%
Before Sep 1, 2026
5.00x20%
Before Aug 14, 2026
11.11x9%
$35.4k vol5 markets
PHYSICS & MATHWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
Jan 1 @ 10:00PM
Before 2035
1.33x75%
Before 2030
1.18x85%
Before 2029
5.26x19%
Before 2028
11.11x9%
$14.4k vol5 markets
AIPrice of NVIDIA B200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?
Jun 22 @ 11:58AM
Above $6.47
1.01x99%
Above $6.77
1.01x99%
Above $3.47
1.02x98%
Above $4.37
1.02x98%
$69.3k vol30 markets
SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGYNumber of US data centers in 2026?
Jun 24 @ 5:52PM
At least 4,800
1.01x99%
At least 4,600
1.02x98%
At least 4,700
1.02x98%
At least 4,400
1.04x96%
$59.9k vol9 markets
BIG TECH & BUSINESSNew York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?
Dec 31 @ 11:59PM
New York Times wins
2.27x44%
$26.2k vol1 market
SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGYWhen will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
Jul 31 @ 11:59PM
Before 2027
3.33x30%
Before Oct 1, 2026
10.00x10%
Before Aug 1, 2026
50.00x2%
$6.8k vol3 markets
PUBLIC HEALTHEbola pandemic in 2026?
Jan 1 @ 10:00AM
In Dec 31, 2026
14.29x7%
$4.1k vol1 market
BIG TECH & BUSINESSWhere will Waymo operate in 2026?
Dec 31 @ 10:00AM
Tampa, FL
1.25x80%
San Diego, CA
1.32x76%
Las Vegas, NV
1.35x74%
Denver, CO
1.41x71%
$30.5k vol10 markets
SPACEWill two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
Jan 1 @ 10:00AM
Before 2028
1.64x61%
$32.4k vol1 market
AIWhen will xAI release Grok 5?
Jun 30 @ 11:59PM
Before 2027
1.45x69%
Before September
10.00x10%
Before July
20.00x5%
Before October
11.11x9%
$7.4k vol4 markets
SPACEWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
Jan 1 @ 10:00AM
Before 2035
2.00x50%
$25.6k vol1 market
AITop AI model in August
Aug 31 @ 10:00AM
claude-opus-5-max
1.33x75%
claude-opus-5-high
6.25x16%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
20.00x5%
claude-opus-4-7
100.00x1%
$4.0k vol5 markets
PHYSICS & MATHWhen will nuclear fusion be achieved?
Dec 31 @ 11:59PM
Before 2040
1.72x58%
Before 2035
2.04x49%
Before 2030
3.03x33%
$18.3k vol3 markets
AIWhen will OpenAI release Astra?
Aug 13 @ 11:59PM
Before Dec 1, 2026
1.05x95%
Before Nov 1, 2026
1.08x93%
Before Oct 16, 2026
1.10x91%
Before Oct 1, 2026
1.39x72%
$11.8k vol8 markets
AIWhen will SpaceXAI release Grok 4.6?
Aug 5 @ 11:59PM
Before Aug 15, 2026
1.14x88%
Before Aug 13, 2026
1.23x81%
Before Aug 11, 2026
25.00x4%
Before Aug 8, 2026
20.00x5%
$3.9k vol8 markets
SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGYWill Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?
Jan 1 @ 10:00AM
Before 2027
4.00x25%
$9.6k vol1 market
PHYSICS & MATHWhen will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
Dec 31 @ 11:59PM
Before 2040
1.54x65%
Before 2035
1.67x60%
Before 2030
2.56x39%
Before 2027
50.00x2%
$10.8k vol4 markets
SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGYHow many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
Jan 1 @ 10:00AM
5
1.96x51%
4
3.85x26%
6
7.14x14%
2
11.11x9%
$8.1k vol10 markets
BIG TECH & BUSINESSWhich states will robotaxi be offered to in 2026?
Jul 22 @ 4:25PM
Florida
1.11x90%
Arizona
1.20x83%
Nevada
1.23x81%
Georgia
2.56x39%
$19.2k vol5 markets
PRODUCT LAUNCHESWill the FDA approve retatrutide?
Dec 31 @ 11:59PM
Before Jan 1, 2029
1.01x99%
Before Jul 1, 2028
1.15x87%
Before Jan 1, 2028
1.19x84%
Before Jul 1, 2027
2.00x50%
$6.2k vol5 markets
SPACESpaceX Starship 14th launch?
Aug 20 @ 11:59PM
Before Oct 1, 2026
1.05x95%
Before Oct 16, 2026
1.05x95%
Before Sep 18, 2026
1.18x85%
Before Sep 1, 2026
3.45x29%
$14.6k vol5 markets
AITop Chinese AI Company week of August 10th
Aug 17 @ 10:00AM
Alibaba
1.08x93%
Z.ai
100.00x1%
ByteDance
50.00x2%
Moonshot
33.33x3%
$1.8k vol9 markets
AIWill Anthropic disable Fable 5 access for US customers?
Jul 9 @ 11:59PM
Before Jul 10, 2026
100.00x1%
Before Jul 31, 2026
100.00x1%
Before Aug 31, 2026
25.00x4%
$541 vol3 markets
SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGYWill Elon make a Bluesky account before 2027?
Jan 1 @ 10:00AM
Before 2027
33.33x3%
$791 vol1 market