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All markets(60)
Congress
International
Iran
Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
All markets60CongressInternationalIranLocalNYCRecurringSCOTUS & courtsTrump

Politics

INTERNATIONAL

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Jun 2 @ 9:59AM

Before Jul 1, 2027
1.47x68%
Before Apr 1, 2027
1.67x60%
Before Jan 1, 2027
2.04x49%
Before Dec 1, 2026
2.70x37%
$2.9M vol13 markets
IRAN

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Jun 1 @ 10:00AM

Before Jan 20, 2029
2.04x49%
Before Jan 1, 2028
2.13x47%
Before Mar 1, 2027
2.86x35%
Before Feb 1, 2027
4.00x25%
$562.0k vol12 markets
TRUMP

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?

Jan 20 @ 10:00AM

Todd Blanche
1.00x100%
Yaakov Roth
100.00x1%
Rudy Giuliani
100.00x1%
No one
100.00x1%
$3.7M vol23 markets
CONGRESS

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Jan 4 @ 10:00AM

Before Jan 4, 2027
16.67x6%
$646.3k vol1 market
INTERNATIONAL

Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?

Jul 1 @ 10:00AM

Before January 20, 2029
5.26x19%
Before 2027
20.00x5%
Before Jul 1, 2026
โ€”0%
$728.6k vol3 markets
CONGRESS

Will crypto market structure legislation become law?

Jun 1 @ 12:00AM

Before Jan 1, 2028
2.27x44%
Before Oct 1, 2027
2.63x38%
Before Jul 1, 2027
2.63x38%
Before Apr 1, 2027
4.35x23%
$251.6k vol12 markets
TRUMP

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Jun 19 @ 10:08AM

Tulsi Gabbard
1.00x100%
Todd Blanche
1.03x97%
Amy Gleason
2.44x41%
Howard Lutnick
3.23x31%
$2.0M vol33 markets
TRUMP

Will Trump be impeached?

Jun 1 @ 10:00AM

Before Jan 1, 2028
1.64x61%
Before Mar 1, 2027
4.00x25%
Before Jan 1, 2027
33.33x3%
Before Sep 1, 2026
100.00x1%
$681.4k vol5 markets
INTERNATIONAL

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Jun 22 @ 1:22PM

Gustavo Petro
1.00x100%
Keir Starmer
1.00x100%
Aleksandar Vuฤiฤ‡
1.06x94%
Benjamin Netanyahu
2.33x43%
$1.2M vol37 markets
INTERNATIONAL

Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Before January 21, 2029
4.17x24%
Before 2027
20.00x5%
$696.4k vol2 markets
LOCAL

Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?

Jul 1 @ 10:54AM

Before 2027
16.67x6%
Before Sep 1, 2026
100.00x1%
Before July
โ€”0%
$70.0k vol3 markets
TRUMP

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

May 31 @ 11:59PM

Before 2027
16.67x6%
Before July
โ€”0%
Before June
โ€”0%
Before August
โ€”0%
$68.7k vol4 markets
TRUMP

Will marijuana be rescheduled?

Jun 30 @ 11:59PM

Before Jan 20, 2029
1.37x73%
Before 2028
1.64x61%
Before 2027
4.35x23%
Before July 2026
โ€”0%
$253.9k vol4 markets
CONGRESS

Will the SAVE America Act become law?

Jun 1 @ 10:00AM

Before Jan 1, 2027
10.00x10%
Before Dec 1, 2026
11.11x9%
Before Nov 1, 2026
14.29x7%
Before Oct 1, 2026
25.00x4%
$137.0k vol8 markets
TRUMP

Kash Patel out as FBI Director?

May 31 @ 11:59PM

Before Dec 1, 2026
4.76x21%
Before Nov 1, 2026
7.69x13%
Before Oct 1, 2026
12.50x8%
Before Sep 1, 2026
25.00x4%
$19.0k vol7 markets
IRAN

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Reza Pahlavi
33.33x3%
$54.0k vol1 market
TRUMP

What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?

Jan 20 @ 10:00AM

Venezuela
33.33x3%
Cuba
25.00x4%
Puerto Rico
50.00x2%
Greenland
50.00x2%
$36.5k vol8 markets
TRUMP

How much will the US acquire Greenland for?

Jan 21 @ 11:59PM

$0 / No Acquisition
1.23x81%
$600 billion to $899 billion
25.00x4%
$100 billion to $299 billion
33.33x3%
$300 billion to $599 billion
33.33x3%
$625.1k vol8 markets
IRAN

Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Yes
14.29x7%
$103.6k vol1 market
CONGRESS

When will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act?

Aug 8 @ 9:03AM

Before Jan 1, 2027
1.08x93%
Before Oct 1, 2026
1.14x88%
Before Aug 8, 2026
100.00x1%
Before Aug 11, 2026
100.00x1%
$43.5k vol4 markets
IRAN

Will Donald Trump visit Iran?

Jun 1 @ 10:00AM

Before Jan 1, 2027
25.00x4%
Before Aug 1, 2026
100.00x1%
Before Jun 1, 2026
โ€”0%
$17.8k vol3 markets
SCOTUS & COURTS

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Anthony Fauci
3.33x30%
John Brennan
2.86x35%
Letitia James
4.00x25%
Ilhan Omar
4.76x21%
$152.3k vol40 markets
SCOTUS & COURTS

Who will be arrested in 2026?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

John Brennan
3.57x28%
Josรฉ Luis Rodrรญguez Zapatero
4.35x23%
Mahmoud Khalil
4.55x22%
Anthony Fauci
6.25x16%
$132.2k vol24 markets
IRAN

Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Before 2027
16.67x6%
$60.0k vol1 market
INTERNATIONAL

Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?

May 31 @ 11:59PM

Before Jan 31, 2028
1.18x85%
Before Jun 1, 2027
1.61x62%
Before Jan 1, 2027
5.56x18%
Before Dec 1, 2026
7.14x14%
$68.8k vol10 markets
SCOTUS & COURTS

When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?

Jun 30 @ 11:59PM

Before Jul 1, 2027
4.55x22%
Before Jan 1, 2027
20.00x5%
Before Sep 1, 2026
100.00x1%
Before Jul 1, 2026
โ€”0%
$22.6k vol4 markets
CONGRESS

Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Before Jan 1, 2027
25.00x4%
$37.6k vol1 market
TRUMP

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

May 31 @ 11:59PM

Before Sep 1, 2026
14.29x7%
Before Jun 1, 2026
โ€”0%
Before Jul 1, 2026
โ€”0%
Before Aug 1, 2026
โ€”0%
$23.2k vol4 markets
HOUSE

2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

Nov 3 @ 9:59AM

Democrats, 8 to 10%
4.00x25%
Democrats, 6 to 8%
4.76x21%
Democrats, 10 to 12%
5.26x19%
Democrats, 4 to 6%
9.09x11%
$89.4k vol10 markets
INTERNATIONAL

2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner

Dec 31 @ 6:59PM

Sudanโ€™s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs)
3.57x28%
Save the Children
10.00x10%
Doctors Without Borders (Mรฉdecins Sans Frontiรจres)
11.11x9%
Yulia Navalnaya
14.29x7%
$34.6k vol21 markets
CONGRESS

Which bills will become law in 2026?

Jul 14 @ 10:16AM

Housing for the 21st Century Act
1.00x100%
Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions
1.32x76%
College sports federalization
3.03x33%
Export-control chip security
3.70x27%
$265.4k vol31 markets
CONGRESS

When will FISA be reauthorized again?

Jun 1 @ 10:00AM

Before Jan 1, 2027
1.37x73%
Before Oct 1, 2026
2.13x47%
Before Aug 1, 2026
25.00x4%
Before Jun 1, 2026
100.00x1%
$30.3k vol15 markets
SCOTUS & COURTS

Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?

Jan 20 @ 11:59PM

James Ho
6.67x15%
Andrew Oldham
6.25x16%
Aileen Cannon
10.00x10%
Amul Thapar
16.67x6%
$25.5k vol39 markets
TRUMP

Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?

Jan 20 @ 10:00AM

During Trump's term
4.55x22%
$125.6k vol1 market
HOUSE

2026: Trump's dream year?

Dec 31 @ 10:00AM

Yes
16.67x6%
$31.2k vol1 market
TRUMP

Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?

Jan 20 @ 10:00AM

Before his term ends
5.26x19%
$103.8k vol1 market
INTERNATIONAL

What countries will Trump visit in 2026?

Jun 15 @ 12:01PM

France
1.00x100%
Turkey
1.00x100%
Germany
2.94x34%
Saudi Arabia
4.17x24%
$192.5k vol23 markets
TRUMP

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Before Jan 20, 2029
2.13x47%
Before 2027
5.00x20%
$163.7k vol2 markets
SCOTUS & COURTS

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?

Jun 30 @ 11:59PM

Before Jul 1, 2027
3.23x31%
Before Jan 1, 2027
8.33x12%
Before Oct 1, 2026
25.00x4%
Before Jul 1, 2026
100.00x1%
$16.0k vol7 markets
POLITICS

Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?

Oct 7 @ 10:00AM

Yes
1.27x79%
$395.1k vol1 market
INTERNATIONAL

Will the US acquire any new territory?

Jul 1 @ 10:00AM

Before Jan 21, 2029
4.55x22%
Before Jan 2028
5.88x17%
Before Jan 2027
14.29x7%
Before Jul 2026
โ€”0%
$44.2k vol4 markets
TRUMP

Will President Trump be impeached during his term?

Jan 20 @ 10:00AM

Before Jan 20, 2029
1.64x61%
$296.9k vol1 market
INTERNATIONAL

Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

Jun 30 @ 11:59PM

Before Jan 1, 2030
2.44x41%
Before Jan 1, 2029
3.45x29%
Before Jan 1, 2028
6.25x16%
Before Jan 1, 2027
25.00x4%
$28.1k vol5 markets
TRUMP

Who will Trump pardon in 2026?

Jun 5 @ 9:52PM

Steve Buyer
1.09x92%
Keonne Rodriguez
5.26x19%
Nicole Daedone
5.88x17%
Rachel Cherwitz
9.09x11%
$41.2k vol34 markets
TRUMP

Will credit card rates be capped in 2026?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Before 2027
14.29x7%
$26.4k vol1 market
INTERNATIONAL

Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?

Jun 30 @ 11:59PM

Before Jan 20, 2029
3.03x33%
Before 2027
10.00x10%
Before July 2026
100.00x1%
$42.2k vol3 markets
TRUMP

Who will Trump pardon?

Jan 21 @ 10:00AM

Donald Trump Jr.
1.72x58%
Donald Trump
1.75x57%
Eric Trump
1.89x53%
Barron Trump
2.04x49%
$145.5k vol52 markets
INTERNATIONAL

Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Colombia
1.06x94%
Saudi Arabia
7.69x13%
Djibouti
9.09x11%
Lebanon
11.11x9%
$67.6k vol12 markets
SENATE

Blue wave in 2026?

Feb 1 @ 10:00AM

Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?
1.33x75%
$261.3k vol1 market
RECURRING

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (8/2-8/8)

Aug 9 @ 9:59AM

200-219
1.72x58%
220-240
3.45x29%
>240
7.14x14%
<80
100.00x1%
$41.8k vol10 markets
TRUMP

Will Trump resign during his term?

Jan 21 @ 10:00AM

Before his term ends
5.00x20%
$64.4k vol1 market
SENATE

Blue tsunami in 2026?

Feb 1 @ 10:00AM

Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate?
2.27x44%
$136.1k vol1 market
TRUMP

How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?

Aug 5 @ 11:52AM

Below 38%
1.02x98%
Below 37%
1.54x65%
Below 36%
2.27x44%
Below 35%
3.03x33%
$156.4k vol6 markets
IRAN

Will Iran become a democracy in 2026?

Mar 1 @ 9:59AM

Yes
25.00x4%
$10.6k vol1 market
IRAN

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?

Sep 1 @ 10:00AM

Before 2027
16.67x6%
Before September 2026
100.00x1%
$13.5k vol2 markets
CONGRESS

Will the federal gas tax be suspended?

Jul 1 @ 10:00AM

Before Jan 1, 2027
6.25x16%
Before Jul 1, 2026
100.00x1%
$24.1k vol2 markets
CONGRESS

Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?

Sep 1 @ 10:00AM

Before 2027
5.26x19%
Before Sep 1, 2026
50.00x2%
$51.7k vol2 markets
TRUMP

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?

Jun 1 @ 10:00AM

Before 2027
12.50x8%
Before Jun 1, 2026
100.00x1%
$7.4k vol2 markets
GROWTH

How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?

Mar 31 @ 11:00AM

At least 250 billion
16.67x6%
At least 50 billion
25.00x4%
At least 500 billion
20.00x5%
At least 1 trillion
25.00x4%
$12.0k vol6 markets
TRUMP

Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?

Jun 15 @ 12:04PM

Claudia Sheinbaum
1.00x100%
Ahmed al-Sharaa
1.00x100%
Mark Carney
1.01x99%
Recep Tayyip ErdoฤŸan
1.01x99%
$103.9k vol22 markets