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All markets(60)
Congress
International
Iran
Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
All markets60CongressInternationalIranLocalNYCRecurringSCOTUS & courtsTrump

Politics

CONGRESS

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Jan 4 @ 10:00AM

Before Jan 4, 2027
25.00x4%
$526.3k vol1 market
TRUMP

Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)

Aug 1 @ 10:00AM

Before January 20, 2029
4.17x24%
Before 2028
6.67x15%
Before 2027
25.00x4%
Before August 1, 2026
โ€”0%
$504.8k vol4 markets
IRAN

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Aug 1 @ 10:00AM

Before Jan 1, 2028
2.78x36%
Before Jan 20, 2029
2.86x35%
Before Feb 1, 2027
5.00x20%
Before Mar 1, 2027
4.76x21%
$362.9k vol10 markets
TRUMP

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?

Jan 21 @ 10:00AM

Anna Kelly
5.56x18%
Scott Jennings
6.67x15%
Roma Daravi
16.67x6%
Maria Bartiromo
14.29x7%
$393.4k vol52 markets
TRUMP

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Aug 10 @ 3:06PM

Karoline Leavitt
1.00x100%
Todd Blanche
1.02x98%
Doug Collins
2.63x38%
Pete Hegseth
3.85x26%
$2.2M vol32 markets
INTERNATIONAL

Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Before January 20, 2029
7.69x13%
Before 2027
20.00x5%
$528.6k vol2 markets
INTERNATIONAL

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Aug 7 @ 8:05PM

Gustavo Petro
1.00x100%
Benjamin Netanyahu
2.13x47%
Christopher Luxon
2.13x47%
Friedrich Merz
6.67x15%
$686.1k vol35 markets
CONGRESS

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

Nov 3 @ 10:00AM

Before election day 2026
33.33x3%
$125.5k vol1 market
INTERNATIONAL

Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Before January 21, 2029
5.26x19%
Before 2027
33.33x3%
$567.8k vol2 markets
CONGRESS

Will the SAVE America Act become law?

Aug 1 @ 10:00AM

Before Jan 1, 2027
14.29x7%
Before Dec 1, 2026
25.00x4%
Before Aug 1, 2026
100.00x1%
Before Sep 1, 2026
100.00x1%
$99.2k vol6 markets
IRAN

Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Yes
12.50x8%
$151.8k vol1 market
IRAN

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Reza Pahlavi
33.33x3%
$56.5k vol1 market
TRUMP

What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?

Jan 20 @ 10:00AM

Cuba
33.33x3%
Venezuela
33.33x3%
Greenland
50.00x2%
Puerto Rico
100.00x1%
$37.9k vol8 markets
HOUSE

2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

Nov 3 @ 9:59AM

Democrats, 8 to 10%
3.33x30%
Democrats, 10 to 12%
4.35x23%
Democrats, 6 to 8%
5.88x17%
Democrats, 12 to 14%
7.14x14%
$173.4k vol10 markets
TRUMP

How much will the US acquire Greenland for?

Jan 21 @ 11:59PM

$0 / No Acquisition
1.11x90%
$100 billion to $299 billion
33.33x3%
$10 billion to $99 billion
33.33x3%
$300 billion to $599 billion
33.33x3%
$795.3k vol8 markets
SCOTUS & COURTS

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

John Brennan
2.17x46%
Anthony Fauci
3.33x30%
Jack Smith
6.67x15%
Alvin Bragg
7.14x14%
$238.2k vol42 markets
SCOTUS & COURTS

Who will be arrested in 2026?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

John Brennan
5.00x20%
Anthony Fauci
11.11x9%
James Clapper
14.29x7%
Letitia James
14.29x7%
$93.7k vol24 markets
LOCAL

Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?

Aug 31 @ 11:59PM

Before 2027
20.00x5%
Before Sep 1, 2026
50.00x2%
$54.9k vol2 markets
CONGRESS

Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Before Jan 1, 2027
20.00x5%
$57.4k vol1 market
IRAN

Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Before 2027
14.29x7%
$74.3k vol1 market
CONGRESS

Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?

Oct 1 @ 10:00AM

Yes
100.00x1%
$9.2k vol1 market
TRUMP

Kash Patel out as FBI Director?

Jul 31 @ 11:59PM

Before Dec 1, 2026
5.88x17%
Before Nov 1, 2026
12.50x8%
Before Sep 1, 2026
100.00x1%
Before Oct 1, 2026
33.33x3%
$23.2k vol5 markets
SENATE

Blue wave in 2026?

Feb 1 @ 10:00AM

Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?
1.19x84%
$605.3k vol1 market
SCOTUS & COURTS

Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?

Jan 20 @ 11:59PM

Andrew Oldham
4.55x22%
James Ho
8.33x12%
Aileen Cannon
10.00x10%
Amul Thapar
14.29x7%
$28.0k vol41 markets
TRUMP

Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?

Jan 20 @ 10:00AM

Before his term ends
6.25x16%
$110.6k vol1 market
TRUMP

Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?

Sep 17 @ 11:59PM

Before Jan 1, 2027
2.56x39%
Before Dec 1, 2026
3.85x26%
Before Nov 1, 2026
10.00x10%
Before Sep 18, 2026
50.00x2%
$202.0k vol5 markets
TRUMP

Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?

Jan 20 @ 10:00AM

During Trump's term
5.00x20%
$120.7k vol1 market
CONGRESS

Which bills will become law in 2026?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions
2.38x42%
College sports federalization
2.04x49%
AI-chip export licensing
3.57x28%
ADS-B revenue-use restriction
3.33x30%
$67.3k vol30 markets
HOUSE

2026: Trump's dream year?

Dec 31 @ 10:00AM

Yes
50.00x2%
$11.8k vol1 market
TRUMP

Will President Trump be impeached during his term?

Jan 20 @ 10:00AM

Before Jan 20, 2029
1.56x64%
$369.4k vol1 market
TRUMP

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Before Jan 20, 2029
2.50x40%
Before 2027
6.67x15%
$141.7k vol2 markets
SENATE

Blue tsunami in 2026?

Feb 1 @ 10:00AM

Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate?
2.00x50%
$271.8k vol1 market
TRUMP

Who will Trump pardon in 2026?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Michael Cohen
4.17x24%
Larry Householder
7.69x13%
Keonne Rodriguez
5.88x17%
Torence Hatch
10.00x10%
$33.2k vol34 markets
INTERNATIONAL

What countries will Trump visit in 2026?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Japan
3.45x29%
Germany
7.14x14%
Israel
6.25x16%
North Korea
12.50x8%
$43.7k vol22 markets
TRUMP

Will Trump resign during his term?

Jan 21 @ 10:00AM

Before his term ends
3.85x26%
$113.8k vol1 market
TRUMP

Will credit card rates be capped in 2026?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Before 2027
33.33x3%
$14.8k vol1 market
TRUMP

Who will Trump pardon?

Jan 21 @ 10:00AM

Donald Trump Jr.
1.67x60%
Pete Hegseth
1.19x84%
Donald Trump
1.89x53%
Jared Kushner
1.32x76%
$165.2k vol52 markets
INTERNATIONAL

Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?

Aug 17 @ 10:37AM

Colombia
1.04x96%
Djibouti
7.69x13%
Belize
12.50x8%
Mauritania
20.00x5%
$44.9k vol12 markets
TRUMP

How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?

Aug 5 @ 11:52AM

Below 38%
1.02x98%
Below 37%
1.27x79%
Below 36%
2.33x43%
Below 35%
3.70x27%
$176.7k vol6 markets
INTERNATIONAL

Will the US acquire any new territory?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Before Jan 2028
7.69x13%
Before Jan 21, 2029
5.88x17%
Before Jan 2027
25.00x4%
$33.7k vol3 markets
SCOTUS & COURTS

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?

Jul 31 @ 11:59PM

Before Jul 1, 2027
2.70x37%
Before Jan 1, 2027
10.00x10%
Before Aug 1, 2026
100.00x1%
Before Oct 1, 2026
100.00x1%
$14.6k vol4 markets
IRAN

Will Iran become a democracy in 2026?

Mar 1 @ 9:59AM

Yes
50.00x2%
$5.2k vol1 market
IRAN

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?

Sep 1 @ 9:21AM

Before 2027
25.00x4%
Before September 2026
100.00x1%
$8.6k vol2 markets
TRUMP

Will Trump declare an election emergency?

Aug 31 @ 11:59PM

Before Nov 4, 2026
5.56x18%
Before Sep 1, 2026
โ€”0%
$36.6k vol2 markets
INTERNATIONAL

Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Before Jan 1, 2030
2.78x36%
Before Jan 1, 2029
3.57x28%
Before Jan 1, 2028
7.69x13%
Before Jan 1, 2027
20.00x5%
$30.0k vol4 markets
GROWTH

How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?

Mar 31 @ 11:00AM

At least 250 billion
25.00x4%
At least 500 billion
33.33x3%
At least 750 billion
25.00x4%
At least 2 trillion
16.67x6%
$9.6k vol6 markets
HOUSE

2026: Trump's bad year?

Dec 31 @ 10:00AM

Yes
10.00x10%
$25.9k vol1 market
TRUMP

Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?

Jul 19 @ 7:12PM

Claudia Sheinbaum
1.00x100%
Andy Burnham
1.02x98%
Lionel Messi
1.05x95%
Vladimir Putin
1.39x72%
$85.5k vol17 markets
TRUMP

Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Stephen Miran
20.00x5%
Kevin Hassett
9.09x11%
Judy Shelton
33.33x3%
Rick Rieder
33.33x3%
$9.6k vol12 markets
INTERNATIONAL

Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Before Jan 20, 2029
2.56x39%
Before 2027
10.00x10%
$52.8k vol2 markets
CONGRESS

Will the federal gas tax be suspended?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Before Jan 1, 2027
9.09x11%
$23.7k vol1 market
SCOTUS & COURTS

How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm?

Jan 20 @ 10:00AM

0
2.44x41%
2
2.86x35%
1
3.33x30%
4
100.00x1%
$52.1k vol10 markets
TRUMP

Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?

Jan 20 @ 10:00AM

Pete Hegseth
3.70x27%
Howard Lutnick
6.25x16%
Chris Wright
7.69x13%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
5.88x17%
$29.1k vol21 markets
INTERNATIONAL

What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Peru
1.03x97%
Uruguay
1.05x95%
Argentina
1.08x93%
Mexico
8.33x12%
$75.2k vol12 markets
TRUMP

When will Trumpโ€™s next Press Secretary be announced?

Aug 13 @ 11:59PM

Before Dec 1, 2026
1.35x74%
Before Jan 1, 2027
2.50x40%
Before Nov 1, 2026
2.63x38%
Before Aug 28, 2026
16.67x6%
$11.3k vol12 markets
TRUMP

Which agencies will Trump eliminate?

Jan 20 @ 10:00AM

EPA
10.00x10%
IRS
16.67x6%
NASA
50.00x2%
USAID
50.00x2%
$6.0k vol4 markets
IRAN

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)

Sep 29 @ 9:00AM

Above 10
1.03x97%
Above 15
1.05x95%
Above 20
1.12x89%
Above 25
3.45x29%
$81.2k vol11 markets
BTC

Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Before Jan 1, 2027
10.00x10%
$18.1k vol1 market
TRUMP

Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?

Jan 20 @ 10:00AM

Before 2029
6.25x16%
$30.0k vol1 market
IRAN

How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?

Jan 5 @ 8:59AM

Above 30
4.35x23%
Above 40
6.25x16%
Above 50
7.14x14%
Above 60
7.14x14%
$22.6k vol10 markets