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All markets(24)
Congress
International
Iran
Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
All markets24CongressInternationalIranLocalNYCRecurringSCOTUS & courtsTrump

International

INTERNATIONAL

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Jun 2 @ 9:59AM

Before Jul 1, 2027
1.47x68%
Before Apr 1, 2027
1.67x60%
Before Jan 1, 2027
2.04x49%
Before Dec 1, 2026
2.63x38%
$2.9M vol13 markets
INTERNATIONAL

Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?

Jul 1 @ 10:00AM

Before January 20, 2029
5.26x19%
Before 2027
25.00x4%
Before Jul 1, 2026
—0%
$722.7k vol3 markets
INTERNATIONAL

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Jun 22 @ 1:22PM

Gustavo Petro
1.00x100%
Keir Starmer
1.00x100%
Aleksandar Vučić
1.06x94%
Benjamin Netanyahu
2.33x43%
$1.2M vol37 markets
INTERNATIONAL

Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Before January 21, 2029
4.17x24%
Before 2027
25.00x4%
$694.4k vol2 markets
INTERNATIONAL

Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?

May 31 @ 11:59PM

Before Jan 31, 2028
1.18x85%
Before Jun 1, 2027
1.61x62%
Before Jan 1, 2027
5.56x18%
Before Dec 1, 2026
7.14x14%
$68.8k vol10 markets
INTERNATIONAL

2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner

Dec 31 @ 6:59PM

Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs)
3.57x28%
Save the Children
10.00x10%
Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)
10.00x10%
Yulia Navalnaya
14.29x7%
$34.6k vol21 markets
INTERNATIONAL

Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?

Jan 20 @ 10:00AM

During Trump's term
4.55x22%
$125.6k vol1 market
INTERNATIONAL

What countries will Trump visit in 2026?

Jun 15 @ 12:01PM

France
1.00x100%
Turkey
1.00x100%
Germany
2.94x34%
Saudi Arabia
4.17x24%
$192.2k vol23 markets
INTERNATIONAL

Will the US acquire any new territory?

Jul 1 @ 10:00AM

Before Jan 21, 2029
4.55x22%
Before Jan 2028
5.88x17%
Before Jan 2027
14.29x7%
Before Jul 2026
—0%
$44.2k vol4 markets
INTERNATIONAL

Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

Jun 30 @ 11:59PM

Before Jan 1, 2030
2.44x41%
Before Jan 1, 2029
3.45x29%
Before Jan 1, 2028
6.25x16%
Before Jan 1, 2027
25.00x4%
$28.1k vol5 markets
INTERNATIONAL

Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?

Jun 30 @ 11:59PM

Before Jan 20, 2029
3.03x33%
Before 2027
10.00x10%
Before July 2026
100.00x1%
$42.2k vol3 markets
INTERNATIONAL

Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Colombia
1.06x94%
Saudi Arabia
7.69x13%
Djibouti
9.09x11%
Lebanon
11.11x9%
$67.6k vol12 markets
INTERNATIONAL

What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Peru
1.41x71%
Uruguay
1.14x88%
Argentina
1.19x84%
Portugal
5.26x19%
$69.7k vol12 markets
INTERNATIONAL

Will the US take control of any part of Canada?

Jan 21 @ 10:00AM

Before 2029
10.00x10%
$13.6k vol1 market
INTERNATIONAL

Will Netanyahu be arrested?

Sep 30 @ 11:59PM

Before Nov 1, 2026
25.00x4%
Before Jan 1, 2027
33.33x3%
Before Oct 1, 2026
50.00x2%
$2.7k vol3 markets
INTERNATIONAL

Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Italy
9.09x11%
Japan
14.29x7%
Greece
16.67x6%
The Netherlands
16.67x6%
$5.0k vol13 markets
INTERNATIONAL

Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Before Jan 1, 2027
14.29x7%
$5.9k vol1 market
INTERNATIONAL

What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Switzerland
2.17x46%
Qatar
2.63x38%
Mexico
2.38x42%
Ukraine
4.00x25%
$19.9k vol9 markets
INTERNATIONAL

Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Uganda
3.13x32%
Lebanon
4.00x25%
Democratic Republic of the Congo
6.25x16%
Ukraine
10.00x10%
$7.1k vol18 markets
INTERNATIONAL

Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement with China?

Jan 20 @ 10:00AM

Before 2029
6.67x15%
$10.2k vol1 market
INTERNATIONAL

Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?

Jan 20 @ 10:00AM

During Trump's term
2.56x39%
$26.4k vol1 market
INTERNATIONAL

Volodymyr Zelenskyy departure announced?

Jun 30 @ 11:59PM

Before Oct 1, 2026
20.00x5%
Before Jul 1, 2026
—0%
$2.5k vol2 markets
INTERNATIONAL

Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel this year?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Yes
6.67x15%
$8.7k vol1 market
INTERNATIONAL

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be pardoned?

Jul 1 @ 10:00AM

Before Nov 1, 2026
6.67x15%
Before Jul 1, 2026
33.33x3%
$4.3k vol2 markets