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All markets(21)
Congress
International
Iran
Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
All markets21CongressInternationalIranLocalNYCRecurringSCOTUS & courtsTrump

Iran

IRAN

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Jun 1 @ 10:00AM

Before Jan 20, 2029
2.04x49%
Before Jan 1, 2028
2.13x47%
Before Mar 1, 2027
2.86x35%
Before Feb 1, 2027
4.00x25%
$576.4k vol12 markets
IRAN

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Reza Pahlavi
33.33x3%
$54.0k vol1 market
IRAN

Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Yes
14.29x7%
$103.6k vol1 market
IRAN

Will Donald Trump visit Iran?

Jun 1 @ 10:00AM

Before Jan 1, 2027
25.00x4%
Before Aug 1, 2026
100.00x1%
Before Jun 1, 2026
โ€”0%
$17.8k vol3 markets
IRAN

Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Before 2027
16.67x6%
$60.0k vol1 market
IRAN

Will Iran become a democracy in 2026?

Mar 1 @ 9:59AM

Yes
25.00x4%
$10.6k vol1 market
IRAN

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?

Sep 1 @ 10:00AM

Before 2027
16.67x6%
Before September 2026
100.00x1%
$13.5k vol2 markets
IRAN

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9)

Aug 11 @ 9:00AM

Above 15
1.05x95%
Above 20
1.15x87%
Above 25
1.47x68%
Above 30
2.22x45%
$20.2k vol14 markets
IRAN

How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?

Jan 5 @ 8:59AM

Above 40
1.59x63%
Above 50
2.17x46%
Above 60
2.63x38%
Above 70
6.67x15%
$15.2k vol9 markets
IRAN

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/3 - 8/9)

Aug 11 @ 9:00AM

Above 5
1.32x76%
Above 10
7.14x14%
Above 25
50.00x2%
Above 15
33.33x3%
$6.5k vol6 markets
IRAN

Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (August 2026)

Sep 1 @ 8:59AM

At least 30
2.22x45%
At least 40
3.45x29%
At least 50
6.25x16%
At least 60
10.00x10%
$4.0k vol8 markets
IRAN

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/3 - 8/9)

Aug 11 @ 9:00AM

Above 150
1.15x87%
Above 175
1.69x59%
Above 200
3.57x28%
Above 225
9.09x11%
$2.5k vol5 markets
IRAN

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/10 - 8/16)

Aug 18 @ 9:00AM

Above 10
1.10x91%
Above 20
1.22x82%
Above 30
1.56x64%
Above 40
2.17x46%
$878 vol12 markets
IRAN

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (8/3 - 8/9)

Aug 11 @ 9:00AM

August 8
5.26x19%
August 5
5.56x18%
August 7
8.33x12%
August 3
6.25x16%
$282 vol7 markets
IRAN

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (8/3 - 8/9)

Aug 11 @ 9:00AM

Above 175
1.03x97%
Above 200
1.33x75%
Above 225
4.55x22%
Above 250
20.00x5%
$1.0k vol5 markets
IRAN

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (8/3 - 8/9)

Aug 11 @ 9:00AM

Above 260
1.15x87%
Above 270
1.33x75%
Above 280
1.52x66%
Above 290
2.44x41%
$337 vol5 markets
IRAN

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/10 - 8/16)

Aug 18 @ 9:00AM

Above 5
1.32x76%
Above 10
2.13x47%
Above 15
5.56x18%
Above 20
8.33x12%
$152 vol6 markets
IRAN

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (8/10 - 8/16)

Aug 18 @ 9:00AM

Above 260
1.16x86%
Above 270
1.35x74%
Above 280
1.56x64%
Above 290
2.50x40%
$0 vol5 markets
IRAN

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (8/10 - 8/16)

Aug 18 @ 9:00AM

Above 175
1.08x93%
Above 200
1.41x71%
Above 225
4.76x21%
Above 250
20.00x5%
$0 vol5 markets
IRAN

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (8/10 - 8/16)

Aug 18 @ 9:00AM

August 16
9.09x11%
August 11
10.00x10%
August 12
10.00x10%
August 13
10.00x10%
$0 vol7 markets
IRAN

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/10 - 8/16)

Aug 18 @ 9:00AM

Above 150
1.28x78%
Above 175
1.69x59%
Above 200
3.57x28%
Above 225
9.09x11%
$0 vol5 markets