โ€”Cashโ€”Portfolio
TrendingElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
Kalshi
๐•โ—Žโ™ช๐ŸŽฎ๐Ÿ‘ฝin

PRODUCT

  • Perpetual Futures
  • Markets
  • Incentive program
  • Institutions
  • API & developers

COMPANY

  • About
  • Kalshi Research
  • Blog
  • Careers
  • Policy Center
  • Brand Kit

HELP

  • Help Center
  • FAQ
  • Fee schedule
  • Trading hours
  • Regulatory

ยฉ 2026 Kalshi Inc. ยท All rights reserved

PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals

Trading involves risk and may not be appropriate for everyone. Members can lose the full cost of entering any transaction, including fees. Consider carefully whether trading is suitable for you in light of your financial resources and experience. All trading decisions are your own responsibility and made at your own risk; information is provided for convenience on an "as is" basis. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This site is an unaffiliated frontend demo built for educational purposes and is not the real Kalshi exchange โ€” no markets, funds, or orders are real.

BrowseLiveSearchSocial
All markets
Econ Daily
Econ Weekly
Fed
GDP
Global Central Banks
Growth
Housing
Inflation
Jobs & Economy
Oil and energy
CNBC Hub
All marketsEcon DailyEcon WeeklyFedGDPGlobal Central BanksGrowthHousingInflationJobs & EconomyOil and energyCNBC Hub

Economics

ECONOMICS

More tech layoffs in 20โ€‹26 than in 2025?

Mar 1 @ 10:00AM

Yes
1.05x95%
$30.0M vol1 market
FED

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Exactly 0 cuts
1.04x96%
Exactly 1 cut
50.00x2%
Exactly 2 cuts
50.00x2%
Exactly 15 cuts
100.00x1%
$2.5M vol21 markets
GROWTH

Recession this year?

Jan 31 @ 8:25AM

Starts
16.67x6%
$214.8k vol1 market
FED

Fed decision in Oct 2026?

Oct 28 @ 1:59PM

Hike 25bps
1.47x68%
Fed maintains rate
3.23x31%
Cut >25bps
100.00x1%
Cut 25bps
100.00x1%
$969.0k vol5 markets
JOBS & ECONOMY

Will at least 50% of scheduled flights at JFK be cancelled on October 21, 2026?

Oct 22 @ 10:00AM

At least 50%
33.33x3%
$79.6k vol1 market
OIL & GAS

How high will US gas prices get in 2026?

Dec 31 @ 1:25AM

Above $4.60
1.56x64%
Above $4.80
2.13x47%
Above $5.00
3.03x33%
Above $5.20
4.76x21%
$437.6k vol13 markets
FED

Fed rate cut before 2027?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Cuts
25.00x4%
$56.5k vol1 market
IPOS

When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?

Jul 31 @ 11:59PM

Before Jun 1, 2027
1.59x63%
Before May 1, 2027
2.13x47%
Before Mar 1, 2027
3.70x27%
Before Apr 1, 2027
3.03x33%
$70.5k vol11 markets
JOBS & ECONOMY

How high will unemployment get in 2026?

Jan 8 @ 8:25AM

Above 4.5%
5.88x17%
Above 4.8%
14.29x7%
Above 5%
25.00x4%
Above 6.5%
33.33x3%
$29.3k vol14 markets
FED

Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

In 2026
25.00x4%
$24.4k vol1 market
INFLATION

Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)

Oct 14 @ 8:29AM

Above 3.0%
1.02x98%
Above 3.1%
1.03x97%
Above 3.2%
1.03x97%
Above 3.3%
1.14x88%
$220.1k vol21 markets
FED

Fed decision in Dec 2026?

Dec 9 @ 1:59PM

Hike 25bps
1.43x70%
Fed maintains rate
4.17x24%
Cut >25bps
100.00x1%
Cut 25bps
50.00x2%
$128.7k vol5 markets
INFLATION

How high will inflation get this year?

Feb 14 @ 8:29AM

At least 4.5%
4.17x24%
At least 5.0%
5.88x17%
At least 5.5%
12.50x8%
At least 6.0%
16.67x6%
$101.7k vol6 markets
GROWTH

Recession in 2027?

Jan 31 @ 8:25AM

Yes
4.00x25%
$120.9k vol1 market
FED

Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

0 cuts
1.03x97%
1 cuts
33.33x3%
2 cuts
33.33x3%
3 cuts
100.00x1%
$262.0k vol5 markets
OIL AND ENERGY

How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?

Jan 1 @ 1:29AM

Above 91,500 MW
25.00x4%
Above 92,000 MW
25.00x4%
Above 92,500 MW
25.00x4%
Above 93,000 MW
33.33x3%
$16.7k vol7 markets
GROWTH

How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

More than $1.4 trillion
6.67x15%
More than $1.5 trillion
6.67x15%
More than $1.6 trillion
14.29x7%
More than $1.7 trillion
20.00x5%
$50.9k vol9 markets
ECON WEEKLY

US gas prices this week

Sep 27 @ 11:59PM

Above 4.3000
1.01x99%
Above 4.3200
1.01x99%
Above 4.3400
1.01x99%
Above 4.3600
1.01x99%
$202.9k vol21 markets
GDP

US real GDP growth in 2026?

Feb 28 @ 8:29AM

2.1% to 2.5%
2.38x42%
1.6% to 2.0%
3.57x28%
2.6% to 3.0%
7.14x14%
1.1% to 1.5%
20.00x5%
$30.2k vol14 markets
OIL & GAS

How high will gas prices in California get this year?

Dec 31 @ 9:55AM

Above $6.20
1.01x99%
Above $6.40
1.20x83%
Above $6.60
1.61x62%
Above $6.80
2.94x34%
$126.3k vol10 markets
INFLATION

CPI in September

Oct 14 @ 8:25AM

Above -0.4%
1.01x99%
Above -0.3%
1.01x99%
Above -0.2%
1.01x99%
Above -0.1%
1.01x99%
$210.7k vol14 markets
IPOS

When will Starlink officially announce an IPO?

Jul 31 @ 11:59PM

Before Jun 30, 2027
16.67x6%
Before Apr 1, 2027
10.00x10%
Before May 1, 2027
33.33x3%
Before Feb 1, 2027
33.33x3%
$12.0k vol11 markets
JOBS & ECONOMY

Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026

Apr 30 @ 11:29AM

Above 80,000 jobs
1.03x97%
Above 81,000 jobs
1.05x95%
Above 82,000 jobs
1.10x91%
Above 83,000 jobs
1.23x81%
$107.6k vol13 markets
OIL & GAS

Gas prices in the US in Sep 2026?

Sep 29 @ 11:59PM

Above 2.50
1.01x99%
Above 2.60
1.01x99%
Above 2.70
1.01x99%
Above 2.80
1.01x99%
$196.4k vol34 markets
OIL & GAS

US gas prices on Election Day

Nov 2 @ 11:59PM

Above 3.00
1.01x99%
Above 3.25
1.02x98%
Above 2.50
1.01x99%
Above 2.75
1.01x99%
$169.8k vol11 markets
JOBS & ECONOMY

Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026

Feb 28 @ 11:29AM

Above 235,000 jobs
1.02x98%
Above 240,000 jobs
1.05x95%
Above 245,000 jobs
1.04x96%
Above 250,000 jobs
1.06x94%
$89.2k vol10 markets
OIL AND ENERGY

Diesel prices in Sep 2026

Sep 30 @ 1:59AM

Above $4.60
1.02x98%
Above $4.70
1.01x99%
Above $4.80
1.01x99%
Above $4.90
1.01x99%
$87.2k vol35 markets
FED

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?

Dec 9 @ 1:55PM

Above 2.75%
1.01x99%
Above 3.00%
1.01x99%
Above 3.25%
1.02x98%
Above 3.50%
1.02x98%
$168.8k vol11 markets
GDP

US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?

Oct 30 @ 8:29AM

Above 0.0%
1.01x99%
Above 0.5%
1.04x96%
Above 1.0%
1.10x91%
Above 1.5%
1.11x90%
$116.6k vol9 markets
FED

Will the Fed have an emergency meeting in 2026?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Before Jan 1, 2027
11.11x9%
$16.3k vol1 market
GROWTH

Will there be a Trump economic boom?

Jan 26 @ 8:25AM

Above 5%
3.33x30%
$54.3k vol1 market
JOBS & ECONOMY

Visitors to Florida in 2026

Feb 26 @ 9:59AM

Above 136 million
1.02x98%
Above 138 million
1.05x95%
Above 140 million
1.25x80%
Above 142 million
2.13x47%
$112.8k vol7 markets
GROWTH

Will a NYSE marketwide circuitbreaker happen this year?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Before 2027
16.67x6%
$11.1k vol1 market
GROWTH

Which countries will have a recession before 2027?

Dec 31 @ 10:00AM

United Kingdom
1.37x73%
Japan
8.33x12%
India
20.00x5%
China
50.00x2%
$65.8k vol4 markets
HOUSING

NYC median asking rent in December 2026

Jan 31 @ 9:59AM

Above $3,800
1.03x97%
Above $3,900
1.23x81%
Above $4,000
2.27x44%
Above $4,100
4.17x24%
$83.6k vol8 markets
OIL AND ENERGY

Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026

Feb 28 @ 9:59AM

Above 87.5 TWh
1.03x97%
Above 90.0 TWh
1.04x96%
Above 92.5 TWh
1.06x94%
Above 95.0 TWh
1.18x85%
$79.0k vol7 markets
JOBS & ECONOMY

Port of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026

Feb 28 @ 9:59AM

Above 8.4 million TEUs
1.05x95%
Above 8.5 million TEUs
1.10x91%
Above 8.6 million TEUs
1.14x88%
Above 8.7 million TEUs
1.20x83%
$98.7k vol9 markets
JOBS & ECONOMY

Unemployment in September

Oct 2 @ 8:29AM

Above 3.7%
1.01x99%
Above 4.9%
1.02x98%
Above 3.8%
1.03x97%
Above 3.9%
1.11x90%
$99.3k vol14 markets
GDP

US real GDP growth in 2033?

Feb 28 @ 8:29AM

1.6% to 2.0%
4.35x23%
0.0% or Below
10.00x10%
0.1% to 0.5%
16.67x6%
1.1% to 1.5%
2.04x49%
$15.4k vol14 markets
GDP

US real GDP growth in 2035?

Feb 28 @ 8:29AM

0.0% or Below
7.14x14%
0.1% to 0.5%
11.11x9%
0.6% to 1.0%
9.09x11%
1.6% to 2.0%
11.11x9%
$10.2k vol14 markets
FED

Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?

Apr 28 @ 1:55PM

Above 0.25%
1.01x99%
Above 0.50%
1.09x92%
Above 1.00%
1.05x95%
Above 0.75%
1.03x97%
$109.7k vol25 markets
GDP

US real GDP growth in 2036?

Dec 31 @ 8:29AM

1.6% to 2.0%
5.26x19%
2.1% to 2.5%
10.00x10%
0.6% to 1.0%
16.67x6%
0.0% or Below
10.00x10%
$8.3k vol14 markets
FED

Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?

Oct 28 @ 1:55PM

Above 2.75%
1.01x99%
Above 3.00%
1.01x99%
Above 3.25%
1.02x98%
Above 3.75%
1.02x98%
$91.1k vol11 markets
OIL & GAS

How low will gas prices in Texas get this year?

Dec 31 @ 9:55AM

Below $2.10
33.33x3%
Below $2.30
25.00x4%
Below $2.20
33.33x3%
Below $2.00
100.00x1%
$4.3k vol6 markets
ECON WEEKLY

Diesel prices this week

Sep 28 @ 1:59AM

Above $6.32
1.01x99%
Above $6.34
1.01x99%
Above $6.36
1.06x94%
Above $6.38
1.10x91%
$63.7k vol21 markets
JOBS & ECONOMY

Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026

Apr 30 @ 11:29AM

Above 447,500 jobs
1.04x96%
Above 450,000 jobs
1.05x95%
Above 452,500 jobs
1.10x91%
Above 455,000 jobs
1.72x58%
$75.4k vol7 markets
FED

Number of Fed rate changes before 2027

Sep 16 @ 2:29PM

Exactly 2
1.96x51%
Exactly 3
2.22x45%
Exactly 1
11.11x9%
Exactly 0
โ€”0%
$26.9k vol13 markets
INFLATION

CPI core in September

Oct 14 @ 8:25AM

Above 0.0%
1.01x99%
Above 0.1%
1.11x90%
Above 0.2%
2.38x42%
Above 0.3%
10.00x10%
$31.3k vol11 markets
GLOBAL CENTRAL BANKS

Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?

Oct 28 @ 9:29AM

Maintains rate
1.75x57%
Hike 25bps
2.13x47%
Cut 25bps
33.33x3%
Hike >25bps
50.00x2%
$58.4k vol5 markets
GROWTH

China overtakes USAโ€™s economy by 2030?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

By 2030
7.69x13%
$16.8k vol1 market
GLOBAL CENTRAL BANKS

Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?

Aug 11 @ 11:40AM

Exactly 6 cuts
2.38x42%
7 or more cuts
2.70x37%
Exactly 5 cuts
5.00x20%
Exactly 2 cuts
100.00x1%
$28.0k vol6 markets
GROWTH

South Dakota corn yield in 2026

Jan 31 @ 9:59AM

Above 125 bu/acre
1.04x96%
Above 130 bu/acre
1.09x92%
Above 135 bu/acre
1.20x83%
Above 140 bu/acre
1.49x67%
$18.9k vol12 markets
INFLATION

September 2026 CPI MoM Combo ยท Headline & Core

Oct 14 @ 8:25AM

Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: 0.3% or above
2.50x40%
Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%
2.50x40%
Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: 0.1% or below
12.50x8%
Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.1% or below
33.33x3%
$14.0k vol12 markets
OIL AND ENERGY

How many PJM capacity emergency days will there be in 2026?

Sep 2 @ 3:31PM

Above 12 days
1.01x99%
Above 10 days
1.19x84%
Above 15 days
2.50x40%
Above 20 days
9.09x11%
$53.7k vol6 markets
HOUSING

California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026

Nov 16 @ 9:59AM

Above 680,000
1.02x98%
Above 690,000
1.05x95%
Above 700,000
1.19x84%
Above 710,000
3.03x33%
$20.1k vol7 markets
FED

Fed decision in Dec 2027?

Dec 8 @ 1:59PM

Fed maintains rate
1.75x57%
Hike 25bps
3.85x26%
Cut 25bps
12.50x8%
Hike >25bps
7.69x13%
$19.8k vol5 markets
JOBS & ECONOMY

Pennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026

Apr 30 @ 9:59AM

Above 545,000 jobs
1.03x97%
Above 550,000 jobs
1.10x91%
Above 555,000 jobs
1.89x53%
Above 560,000 jobs
7.69x13%
$65.2k vol6 markets
HOUSING

Connecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026

May 3 @ 7:54AM

Above 3,500 units
1.79x56%
Above 4,000 units
2.17x46%
Above 4,500 units
5.88x17%
Above 5,000 units
9.09x11%
$20.9k vol8 markets
INFLATION

Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

Dec 10 @ 8:25AM

Above 2.1%
1.02x98%
Above 2.0%
1.02x98%
Above 2.2%
1.03x97%
Above 2.3%
1.05x95%
$36.3k vol16 markets
INFLATION

State of the economy at the end of 2026

Jan 13 @ 8:25AM

Overheating
1.47x68%
Soft landing
3.45x29%
Stagflation
33.33x3%
Slack / disinflation
100.00x1%
$38.3k vol4 markets