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All markets
Econ Daily
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Inflation
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Oil and energy
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Economics

ECONOMICS

More tech layoffs in 20โ€‹26 than in 2025?

Mar 1 @ 10:00AM

Yes
1.09x92%
$28.8M vol1 market
FED

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Exactly 0 cuts
1.16x86%
Exactly 1 cut
8.33x12%
Exactly 2 cuts
33.33x3%
Exactly 14 cuts
100.00x1%
$2.0M vol21 markets
FED

Fed decision in Sep 2026?

Sep 16 @ 1:59PM

Fed maintains rate
1.56x64%
Hike 25bps
2.86x35%
Cut >25bps
100.00x1%
Cut 25bps
50.00x2%
$1.4M vol5 markets
FED

Next Fed rate hike?

Jun 30 @ 11:59PM

Before 2028
1.28x78%
Before July 2027
1.39x72%
Before 2027
1.72x58%
Before July 2026
100.00x1%
$1.5M vol4 markets
GROWTH

Recession this year?

Jan 31 @ 8:25AM

Starts
25.00x4%
$128.1k vol1 market
JOBS & ECONOMY

Will at least 50% of scheduled flights at JFK be cancelled on October 21, 2026?

Oct 22 @ 10:00AM

At least 50%
33.33x3%
$82.1k vol1 market
GROWTH

How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?

Jun 12 @ 10:10AM

More than $900 billion
1.01x99%
More than $1 trillion
1.01x99%
More than $1.1 trillion
1.01x99%
More than $1.2 trillion
1.01x99%
$924.1k vol14 markets
OIL & GAS

How high will US gas prices get in 2026?

Dec 31 @ 1:25AM

Above $4.60
2.44x41%
Above $4.80
3.23x31%
Above $5.00
3.57x28%
Above $5.20
5.00x20%
$239.0k vol13 markets
IPOS

When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?

May 31 @ 11:59PM

Before Jun 1, 2027
1.54x65%
Before May 1, 2027
1.69x59%
Before Apr 1, 2027
1.92x52%
Before Mar 1, 2027
2.44x41%
$126.0k vol13 markets
INFLATION

Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)

Aug 12 @ 8:29AM

Above 3.0%
1.01x99%
Above 3.1%
1.04x96%
Above 3.2%
1.15x87%
Above 3.3%
1.75x57%
$220.5k vol21 markets
FED

Fed rate cut before 2027?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Cuts
6.67x15%
$136.3k vol1 market
JOBS & ECONOMY

How high will unemployment get in 2026?

Jan 8 @ 8:25AM

Above 4.5%
2.70x37%
Above 4.8%
7.14x14%
Above 5%
50.00x2%
Above 10%
33.33x3%
$23.9k vol14 markets
INFLATION

CPI core year-over-year in Jul 2026?

Aug 12 @ 8:29AM

Exactly 2.5%
2.56x39%
Exactly 2.4%
3.03x33%
Exactly 3.7%
10.00x10%
Exactly 3.4%
12.50x8%
$119.0k vol16 markets
INFLATION

How high will inflation get this year?

Jun 10 @ 10:43AM

At least 4.0%
1.00x100%
At least 5.0%
4.35x23%
At least 4.5%
4.17x24%
At least 5.5%
7.14x14%
$303.9k vol7 markets
INFLATION

CPI in July

Aug 12 @ 8:25AM

Above -0.4%
1.02x98%
Above -0.3%
1.01x99%
Above -0.2%
1.05x95%
Above -0.1%
1.14x88%
$229.7k vol10 markets
FED

Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

In 2026
16.67x6%
$30.8k vol1 market
GROWTH

When will the next US recession start?

Dec 31 @ 10:00AM

Q4 2025
50.00x2%
Q1 2026
50.00x2%
Q3 2025
100.00x1%
Q4 2024
100.00x1%
$4.0k vol6 markets
IPOS

When will Starlink officially announce an IPO?

May 31 @ 11:59PM

Before Jun 30, 2027
16.67x6%
Before Mar 1, 2027
14.29x7%
Before Apr 1, 2027
25.00x4%
Before May 1, 2027
9.09x11%
$16.1k vol13 markets
FED

Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

0 cuts
1.08x93%
1 cuts
12.50x8%
2 cuts
25.00x4%
3 cuts
100.00x1%
$236.7k vol5 markets
ECON WEEKLY

US gas prices this week

Aug 9 @ 11:59PM

Above 3.860
1.01x99%
Above 3.880
1.01x99%
Above 3.900
1.01x99%
Above 3.920
1.04x96%
$112.4k vol26 markets
GDP

US real GDP growth in 2026?

Feb 28 @ 8:29AM

2.1% to 2.5%
3.45x29%
1.6% to 2.0%
3.85x26%
1.1% to 1.5%
7.14x14%
2.6% to 3.0%
7.14x14%
$24.4k vol14 markets
FED

Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?

Sep 16 @ 1:55PM

Above 2.75%
1.01x99%
Above 3.00%
1.01x99%
Above 3.25%
1.01x99%
Above 3.50%
1.02x98%
$109.6k vol11 markets
INFLATION

CPI year-over-year in Jul 2026?

Aug 12 @ 8:29AM

Exactly 3.4%
2.27x44%
Exactly 3.3%
3.45x29%
Exactly 3.5%
7.14x14%
Exactly 3.2%
12.50x8%
$15.0k vol26 markets
OIL & GAS

Gas prices in the US in Aug 2026?

Aug 30 @ 11:59PM

Above 2.50
1.01x99%
Above 2.60
1.01x99%
Above 2.70
1.01x99%
Above 2.80
1.01x99%
$107.7k vol26 markets
GROWTH

Will there be a Trump economic boom?

Jan 26 @ 8:25AM

Above 5%
2.78x36%
$63.1k vol1 market
GROWTH

Which countries will have a recession before 2027?

Dec 31 @ 10:00AM

United Kingdom
7.69x13%
Japan
7.69x13%
China
12.50x8%
India
100.00x1%
$18.1k vol4 markets
FED

Will the Fed have an emergency meeting in 2026?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Before Jan 1, 2027
14.29x7%
$12.6k vol1 market
INFLATION

US gasoline CPI for July

Aug 12 @ 8:29AM

Above 300ใ…ค
1.01x99%
Above 310ใ…ค
1.01x99%
Above 320ใ…ค
1.01x99%
Above 330ใ…ค
1.25x80%
$36.0k vol27 markets
GROWTH

Will a NYSE marketwide circuitbreaker happen this year?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Before 2027
6.25x16%
$26.3k vol1 market
OIL & GAS

How high will gas prices in California get this year?

Dec 31 @ 9:55AM

Above $6.20
1.89x53%
Above $6.40
2.56x39%
Above $6.60
4.17x24%
Above $6.80
4.00x25%
$34.2k vol10 markets
GDP

US real GDP growth in 2033?

Feb 28 @ 8:29AM

0.0% or Below
8.33x12%
1.1% to 1.5%
9.09x11%
1.6% to 2.0%
9.09x11%
2.1% to 2.5%
10.00x10%
$10.5k vol14 markets
FED

Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?

Apr 28 @ 1:55PM

Above 0.25%
1.03x97%
Above 0.75%
1.12x89%
Above 1.00%
1.09x92%
Above 0.50%
1.16x86%
$103.3k vol18 markets
GDP

US real GDP growth in 2035?

Feb 28 @ 8:29AM

0.0% or Below
9.09x11%
2.1% to 2.5%
10.00x10%
1.6% to 2.0%
11.11x9%
2.6% to 3.0%
12.50x8%
$9.6k vol14 markets
GDP

US real GDP growth in 2036?

Dec 31 @ 8:29AM

1.6% to 2.0%
5.26x19%
6.1% or Above
8.33x12%
1.1% to 1.5%
10.00x10%
2.1% to 2.5%
10.00x10%
$9.4k vol14 markets
GROWTH

China overtakes USAโ€™s economy by 2030?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

By 2030
6.25x16%
$20.4k vol1 market
GROWTH

Recession in 2027?

Jan 31 @ 8:25AM

Yes
4.00x25%
$30.0k vol1 market
FED

Fed decision in Dec 2027?

Dec 8 @ 1:59PM

Fed maintains rate
1.96x51%
Hike 25bps
12.50x8%
Cut 25bps
12.50x8%
Hike >25bps
12.50x8%
$10.7k vol5 markets
INFLATION

How high will CPI get this year?

Jun 10 @ 10:44AM

Above 4.1%
1.01x99%
Above 3.8%
1.08x93%
Above 3.9%
1.08x93%
Above 4.0%
1.09x92%
$59.4k vol13 markets
FED

Fed decision in Oct 2026?

Oct 28 @ 1:59PM

Fed maintains rate
1.43x70%
Hike 25bps
4.17x24%
Cut 25bps
16.67x6%
Cut >25bps
25.00x4%
$23.7k vol5 markets
OIL & GAS

US gas prices on Election Day

Nov 2 @ 11:59PM

Above 2.50
1.06x94%
Above 2.75
1.03x97%
Above 3.00
1.06x94%
Above 3.25
1.20x83%
$45.8k vol11 markets
FED

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?

Dec 9 @ 1:55PM

Above 2.75%
1.02x98%
Above 3.00%
1.02x98%
Above 3.25%
1.02x98%
Above 3.50%
1.19x84%
$71.5k vol11 markets
OIL & GAS

How low will gas prices in Texas get this year?

Dec 31 @ 9:55AM

Below $2.10
20.00x5%
Below $2.00
16.67x6%
Below $2.30
11.11x9%
Below $2.20
50.00x2%
$4.7k vol6 markets
IPOS

When will Anduril officially announce an IPO?

May 31 @ 11:59PM

Before Jun 1, 2027
7.14x14%
Before Feb 1, 2027
7.69x13%
Before May 1, 2027
5.56x18%
Before Mar 1, 2027
20.00x5%
$9.8k vol13 markets
INFLATION

CPI-U index in July

Aug 12 @ 8:29AM

Above 333.4
1.30x77%
Above 333.5
1.35x74%
Above 333.6
1.25x80%
Above 333.7
1.22x82%
$17.9k vol18 markets
INFLATION

CPI month-over-month in Jul 2026?

Aug 12 @ 8:29AM

Exactly 0.1%
2.78x36%
Exactly 0.0%
3.13x32%
Exactly 0.2%
8.33x12%
Exactly -0.1%
12.50x8%
$11.5k vol10 markets
INFLATION

Core inflation in July 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

Aug 12 @ 8:25AM

Above 2.2%
1.03x97%
Above 2.3%
1.08x93%
Above 2.1%
1.35x74%
Above 2.4%
2.08x48%
$25.1k vol15 markets
GROWTH

How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?

Mar 31 @ 11:00AM

At least 50 billion
12.50x8%
At least 100 billion
14.29x7%
At least 200 billion
33.33x3%
At least 250 billion
25.00x4%
$2.5k vol9 markets
NYC

How many billionaires will New York City lose this year?

Dec 31 @ 10:00AM

At least 1
2.08x48%
At least 2
2.44x41%
At least 3
3.23x31%
At least 8
4.55x22%
$22.0k vol6 markets
INFLATION

July 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core

Aug 12 @ 8:25AM

Headline: Exactly 0.0%, Core: 0.1% or below
5.00x20%
Headline: Exactly 0.1%, Core: Exactly 0.2%
5.00x20%
Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: Exactly 0.2%
10.00x10%
Headline: Exactly 0.0%, Core: Exactly 0.2%
3.70x27%
$4.5k vol15 markets
GDP

US real GDP growth in 2032?

Feb 28 @ 8:29AM

2.1% to 2.5%
5.56x18%
0.0% or Below
11.11x9%
1.6% to 2.0%
11.11x9%
1.1% to 1.5%
12.50x8%
$6.6k vol14 markets
INFLATION

Costco raises hot dog combo price?

Jan 1 @ 11:59PM

Before 2030
2.86x35%
Before 2029
4.00x25%
Before 2028
9.09x11%
Before 2027
33.33x3%
$5.1k vol4 markets
OIL & GAS

How high will gas prices in Texas get this year?

Dec 31 @ 9:55AM

Above $4.20
3.33x30%
Above $4.40
3.85x26%
Above $4.60
4.00x25%
Above $4.80
5.88x17%
$14.2k vol10 markets
GROWTH

Elon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026

Dec 31 @ 4:59PM

Above $500 billion
1.15x87%
Above $600 billion
1.32x76%
Above $700 billion
1.92x52%
Above $800 billion
2.70x37%
$6.3k vol21 markets
GDP

U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026?

Oct 20 @ 8:29AM

Below 5%
11.11x9%
$5.9k vol1 market
GDP

US share of global GDP in 2026

Jun 30 @ 11:59PM

Above 25.1%
1.02x98%
Above 25.2%
1.02x98%
Above 25.3%
1.03x97%
Above 25.4%
1.05x95%
$54.2k vol11 markets
ECONOMICS

More white-collar layoffs in 20โ€‹26 than in 2025?

Mar 1 @ 10:00AM

Yes
1.89x53%
$31.0k vol1 market
INFLATION

State of the economy at the end of 2026

Jan 13 @ 8:25AM

Soft landing
1.72x58%
Overheating
3.33x30%
Stagflation
12.50x8%
Slack / disinflation
16.67x6%
$15.7k vol4 markets
ECON WEEKLY

Diesel prices this week?

Aug 9 @ 1:59AM

Above $5.16
1.01x99%
Above $5.18
1.01x99%
Above $5.20
1.01x99%
Above $5.22
1.01x99%
$20.7k vol21 markets
NYC

How high will gas prices in New York get this year?

Dec 31 @ 9:55AM

Above $4.80
2.86x35%
Above $5.00
3.57x28%
Above $5.20
3.85x26%
Above $5.40
5.88x17%
$12.5k vol8 markets
GROWTH

Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Before 2027
7.69x13%
$7.0k vol1 market