Jobs & Economy
JOBS & ECONOMYWill at least 50% of scheduled flights at JFK be cancelled on October 21, 2026?
Oct 22 @ 10:00AM
At least 50%
33.33x3%
$82.1k vol1 market
JOBS & ECONOMYHow high will unemployment get in 2026?
Jan 8 @ 8:25AM
Above 4.5%
2.70x37%
Above 4.8%
7.14x14%
Above 5%
50.00x2%
Above 10%
33.33x3%
$23.9k vol14 markets
JOBS & ECONOMYState of the economy at the end of 2026
Jan 13 @ 8:25AM
Soft landing
1.61x62%
Overheating
3.33x30%
Stagflation
12.50x8%
Slack / disinflation
16.67x6%
$16.5k vol4 markets
JOBS & ECONOMYU.S. nonfarm productivity YoY above 3% in any 2026 quarter?
Mar 4 @ 8:59AM
Above 3%
2.22x45%
$23.2k vol1 market
JOBS & ECONOMYUnemployment in August
Sep 4 @ 8:29AM
Above 3.7%
1.05x95%
Above 3.8%
1.08x93%
Above 3.9%
1.05x95%
Above 4.0%
1.14x88%
$17.7k vol14 markets
JOBS & ECONOMYAustralia unemployment rate in July
Aug 19 @ 9:25PM
Above 4.0%
1.14x88%
Above 4.1%
1.10x91%
Above 4.2%
1.23x81%
Above 4.3%
1.43x70%
$3.0k vol10 markets
JOBS & ECONOMYWill youth unemployment fall below 7.5% in 2026?
Dec 4 @ 8:29AM
Yes
5.26x19%
$4.0k vol1 market
JOBS & ECONOMYJobs numbers in Sep 2026?
Oct 2 @ 8:29AM
Above -25,000
1.20x83%
Above 0
1.20x83%
Above 10,000
1.18x85%
Above 20,000
1.52x66%
$7.3k vol13 markets
JOBS & ECONOMYChina unemployment rate in July
Aug 16 @ 9:55PM
Above 4.6%
1.01x99%
Above 4.8%
1.03x97%
Above 4.9%
1.12x89%
Above 5.0%
1.30x77%
$13.1k vol11 markets
JOBS & ECONOMYHow many government employees will Trump cut?
Mar 4 @ 10:00AM
More than 100,000
5.00x20%
More than 150,000
9.09x11%
More than 250,000
12.50x8%
More than 200,000
8.33x12%
$2.3k vol6 markets
JOBS & ECONOMYHow high will unemployment get before 2030?
Jan 4 @ 8:25AM
Above 5%
1.14x88%
Above 6%
1.14x88%
Above 7%
1.49x67%
Above 8%
1.92x52%
$7.1k vol10 markets
JOBS & ECONOMYWill unemployment in Brazil be below 5.8% in Q4 2026?
Mar 31 @ 11:00AM
Below 5.8%
1.54x65%
$9.9k vol1 market
JOBS & ECONOMYUnemployment in September
Oct 2 @ 8:29AM
Above 3.7%
1.10x91%
Above 3.8%
1.10x91%
Above 3.9%
1.12x89%
Above 4.0%
1.16x86%
$6.9k vol14 markets
JOBS & ECONOMYIllinois pension debt in 2026?
Nov 1 @ 8:29AM
Above $140 billion
1.08x93%
Above $145 billion
1.23x81%
Above $150 billion
14.29x7%
Above $155 billion
25.00x4%
$396 vol7 markets
JOBS & ECONOMYUnemployment rate in Aug 2026?
Sep 4 @ 8:29AM
Exactly 4.2%
3.70x27%
Exactly 4.1%
3.45x29%
Exactly 4.3%
5.00x20%
Exactly 4.0%
9.09x11%
$1.3k vol23 markets
JOBS & ECONOMYUnemployment in October
Nov 6 @ 8:29AM
Above 3.7%
1.09x92%
Above 3.8%
1.06x94%
Above 3.9%
1.20x83%
Above 4.0%
1.41x71%
$6.1k vol14 markets
JOBS & ECONOMYUnemployment rate in Sep 2026?
Oct 2 @ 8:29AM
Exactly 4.2%
7.14x14%
Exactly 4.1%
7.14x14%
Exactly 4.3%
7.14x14%
Exactly 4.4%
9.09x11%
$689 vol23 markets
JOBS & ECONOMYJobs numbers in October 2026?
Nov 6 @ 8:29AM
Above -25,000
1.16x86%
Above 0
1.28x78%
Above 10,000
1.35x74%
Above 20,000
1.39x72%
$6.2k vol13 markets
JOBS & ECONOMYUSDT reserve share in T-bills at end of 2026?
Feb 28 @ 8:29AM
Above 56.0%
1.20x83%
Above 58.0%
1.45x69%
Above 60.0%
1.64x61%
Above 62.0%
2.00x50%
$4.2k vol8 markets
JOBS & ECONOMYCanadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?
Feb 23 @ 8:29AM
Decline greater than 20%
3.85x26%
$2.2k vol1 market
JOBS & ECONOMYWill Tesla layoff 3,000 employees before October 1, 2026?
Sep 30 @ 11:59PM
Before Oct 1, 2026
11.11x9%
$699 vol1 market
JOBS & ECONOMYCanada unemployment below 6.5% before 2027?
Dec 31 @ 11:59PM
Below 6.5%
1.11x90%
$6.7k vol1 market
JOBS & ECONOMYUnemployment rate in Nov 2026?
Dec 4 @ 8:29AM
Exactly 4.2%
1.30x77%
Exactly 4.3%
9.09x11%
Exactly 4.4%
12.50x8%
Exactly 4.5%
12.50x8%
$832 vol23 markets
JOBS & ECONOMYJobs numbers in Aug 2026?
Sep 4 @ 8:29AM
Above -25,000
1.19x84%
Above 0
1.33x75%
Above 10,000
1.14x88%
Above 20,000
1.18x85%
$3.9k vol13 markets