โ€”Cashโ€”Portfolio
TrendingElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
Kalshi
๐•โ—Žโ™ช๐ŸŽฎ๐Ÿ‘ฝin

PRODUCT

  • Perpetual Futures
  • Markets
  • Incentive program
  • Institutions
  • API & developers

COMPANY

  • About
  • Kalshi Research
  • Blog
  • Careers
  • Policy Center
  • Brand Kit

HELP

  • Help Center
  • FAQ
  • Fee schedule
  • Trading hours
  • Regulatory

ยฉ 2026 Kalshi Inc. ยท All rights reserved

PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals

Trading involves risk and may not be appropriate for everyone. Members can lose the full cost of entering any transaction, including fees. Consider carefully whether trading is suitable for you in light of your financial resources and experience. All trading decisions are your own responsibility and made at your own risk; information is provided for convenience on an "as is" basis. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This site is an unaffiliated frontend demo built for educational purposes and is not the real Kalshi exchange โ€” no markets, funds, or orders are real.

BrowseLiveSearchSocial
All markets
Econ Daily
Econ Weekly
Fed
GDP
Global Central Banks
Growth
Housing
Inflation
Jobs & Economy
Oil and energy
CNBC Hub
All marketsEcon DailyEcon WeeklyFedGDPGlobal Central BanksGrowthHousingInflationJobs & EconomyOil and energyCNBC Hub

Fed

FED

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Exactly 0 cuts
1.06x94%
Exactly 1 cut
16.67x6%
Exactly 2 cuts
100.00x1%
Exactly 17 cuts
โ€”0%
$2.5M vol21 markets
FED

Fed decision in Oct 2026?

Oct 28 @ 1:59PM

Hike 25bps
1.82x55%
Fed maintains rate
2.22x45%
Cut >25bps
100.00x1%
Cut 25bps
100.00x1%
$497.0k vol5 markets
FED

Fed rate cut before 2027?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Cuts
16.67x6%
$74.3k vol1 market
FED

Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

In 2026
25.00x4%
$25.5k vol1 market
FED

Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

0 cuts
1.05x95%
1 cuts
20.00x5%
2 cuts
33.33x3%
3 cuts
100.00x1%
$250.6k vol5 markets
FED

Fed decision in Dec 2026?

Dec 9 @ 1:59PM

Hike 25bps
1.49x67%
Fed maintains rate
3.33x30%
Cut >25bps
100.00x1%
Cut 25bps
50.00x2%
$104.3k vol5 markets
FED

Will the Fed have an emergency meeting in 2026?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Before Jan 1, 2027
10.00x10%
$17.4k vol1 market
FED

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?

Dec 9 @ 1:55PM

Above 2.75%
1.01x99%
Above 3.00%
1.01x99%
Above 3.75%
1.02x98%
Above 3.25%
1.02x98%
$144.8k vol11 markets
FED

Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?

Apr 28 @ 1:55PM

Above 0.25%
1.01x99%
Above 1.00%
1.05x95%
Above 0.75%
1.03x97%
Above 1.25%
1.10x91%
$126.5k vol25 markets
FED

Number of Fed rate changes before 2027

Sep 16 @ 2:29PM

Exactly 2
1.52x66%
Exactly 3
3.85x26%
Exactly 1
9.09x11%
Exactly 0
โ€”0%
$25.2k vol13 markets
FED

Fed decision in Dec 2027?

Dec 8 @ 1:59PM

Fed maintains rate
1.72x58%
Cut 25bps
10.00x10%
Hike 25bps
4.76x21%
Cut >25bps
12.50x8%
$14.6k vol5 markets
FED

Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?

Oct 28 @ 1:55PM

Above 2.75%
1.01x99%
Above 3.00%
1.01x99%
Above 3.25%
1.02x98%
Above 3.50%
1.02x98%
$74.7k vol11 markets
FED

Fed decision in Jan 2027?

Jan 27 @ 1:59PM

Fed maintains rate
1.64x61%
Hike 25bps
3.23x31%
Cut 25bps
20.00x5%
Cut >25bps
33.33x3%
$24.0k vol5 markets
FED

Will rates hit zero in 2026?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

In 2026
50.00x2%
$1.2k vol1 market
FED

Fed funds rate at end of 2027

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Above 1.00%
1.02x98%
Above 1.25%
1.05x95%
Above 2.00%
1.08x93%
Above 1.75%
1.08x93%
$45.7k vol21 markets
FED

Fed decision in Oct 2027?

Oct 27 @ 1:59PM

Fed maintains rate
1.89x53%
Hike 25bps
2.17x46%
Cut 25bps
14.29x7%
Cut >25bps
16.67x6%
$8.2k vol5 markets
FED

Fed funds rate after Jan 2027 meeting?

Jan 27 @ 1:55PM

Above 0.00%
1.02x98%
Above 0.50%
1.03x97%
Above 0.25%
1.02x98%
Above 0.75%
1.03x97%
$50.2k vol25 markets
FED

Fed decision in Jul 2027?

Jul 28 @ 1:59PM

Fed maintains rate
1.32x76%
Cut 25bps
25.00x4%
Hike 25bps
5.26x19%
Hike >25bps
10.00x10%
$7.6k vol5 markets
FED

Fed decision in Apr 2027?

Apr 28 @ 1:59PM

Fed maintains rate
1.54x65%
Cut 25bps
5.26x19%
Hike 25bps
20.00x5%
Cut >25bps
12.50x8%
$12.4k vol5 markets
FED

Number of rate hikes in 2026?

Sep 16 @ 2:28PM

Exactly 2
1.75x57%
Exactly 3
3.57x28%
Exactly 1
5.26x19%
At least 4
50.00x2%
$10.5k vol5 markets
FED

Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting?

Mar 17 @ 1:55PM

Above 1.50%
1.05x95%
Above 0.00%
1.08x93%
Above 0.25%
1.01x99%
Above 0.75%
1.04x96%
$30.6k vol25 markets
FED

Fed decision in Jun 2027?

Jun 9 @ 1:59PM

Fed maintains rate
1.69x59%
Hike 25bps
5.00x20%
Cut 25bps
5.56x18%
Cut >25bps
3.57x28%
$8.7k vol5 markets
FED

UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026

Sep 30 @ 3:29PM

Above 3.20%
1.12x89%
Above 3.30%
1.01x99%
Above 3.40%
1.03x97%
Above 3.50%
1.03x97%
$25.5k vol22 markets
FED

Fed decision in Mar 2027?

Mar 17 @ 1:59PM

Fed maintains rate
1.49x67%
Hike 25bps
4.00x25%
Cut 25bps
10.00x10%
Cut >25bps
33.33x3%
$6.2k vol5 markets