Fed
FEDNumber of rate cuts in 2026?
Dec 31 @ 11:59PM
Exactly 0 cuts
1.15x87%
Exactly 1 cut
9.09x11%
Exactly 2 cuts
33.33x3%
Exactly 14 cuts
100.00x1%
$2.0M vol21 markets
FEDFed decision in Sep 2026?
Sep 16 @ 1:59PM
Fed maintains rate
1.54x65%
Hike 25bps
2.78x36%
Cut >25bps
100.00x1%
Cut 25bps
50.00x2%
$1.4M vol5 markets
FEDNext Fed rate hike?
Jun 30 @ 11:59PM
Before 2028
1.27x79%
Before July 2027
1.39x72%
Before 2027
1.79x56%
Before July 2026
100.00x1%
$1.5M vol4 markets
FEDFed rate cut before 2027?
Dec 31 @ 11:59PM
Cuts
6.67x15%
$136.3k vol1 market
FEDWill the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?
Jan 1 @ 10:00AM
In 2026
16.67x6%
$30.8k vol1 market
FEDNumber of emergency rate cuts in 2026?
Dec 31 @ 11:59PM
0 cuts
1.08x93%
1 cuts
12.50x8%
2 cuts
25.00x4%
3 cuts
100.00x1%
$236.7k vol5 markets
FEDFed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
Sep 16 @ 1:55PM
Above 2.75%
1.01x99%
Above 3.00%
1.01x99%
Above 3.25%
1.01x99%
Above 3.50%
1.02x98%
$111.4k vol11 markets
FEDWill the Fed have an emergency meeting in 2026?
Dec 31 @ 11:59PM
Before Jan 1, 2027
14.29x7%
$12.6k vol1 market
FEDFed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?
Apr 28 @ 1:55PM
Above 0.25%
1.03x97%
Above 0.75%
1.12x89%
Above 1.00%
1.09x92%
Above 0.50%
1.16x86%
$103.3k vol18 markets
FEDFed decision in Dec 2027?
Dec 8 @ 1:59PM
Fed maintains rate
1.96x51%
Hike 25bps
12.50x8%
Cut 25bps
12.50x8%
Hike >25bps
12.50x8%
$10.7k vol5 markets
FEDFed decision in Oct 2026?
Oct 28 @ 1:59PM
Fed maintains rate
1.43x70%
Hike 25bps
4.17x24%
Cut 25bps
14.29x7%
Cut >25bps
25.00x4%
$24.1k vol5 markets
FEDFed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?
Dec 9 @ 1:55PM
Above 2.75%
1.02x98%
Above 3.00%
1.02x98%
Above 3.25%
1.02x98%
Above 3.50%
1.19x84%
$71.5k vol11 markets
FEDWill rates hit zero in 2026?
Jan 1 @ 10:00AM
In 2026
50.00x2%
$1.3k vol1 market
FEDFed decision in Oct 2027?
Oct 27 @ 1:59PM
Fed maintains rate
2.04x49%
Hike >25bps
9.09x11%
Hike 25bps
6.67x15%
Cut >25bps
14.29x7%
$6.3k vol5 markets
FEDFed decision in Jul 2027?
Jul 28 @ 1:59PM
Fed maintains rate
1.22x82%
Cut 25bps
20.00x5%
Hike 25bps
33.33x3%
Hike >25bps
25.00x4%
$5.7k vol5 markets
FEDFed funds rate after Jan 2027 meeting?
Jan 27 @ 1:55PM
Above 0.00%
1.02x98%
Above 0.50%
1.04x96%
Above 0.25%
1.03x97%
Above 0.75%
1.05x95%
$38.3k vol18 markets
FEDNumber of Fed rate changes before 2027
Dec 31 @ 11:59PM
Exactly 1
2.70x37%
Exactly 0
2.86x35%
Exactly 2
4.55x22%
Exactly 3
100.00x1%
$12.8k vol13 markets
FEDFed decision in Dec 2026?
Dec 9 @ 1:59PM
Fed maintains rate
1.61x62%
Hike 25bps
3.57x28%
Cut 25bps
10.00x10%
Cut >25bps
50.00x2%
$11.7k vol5 markets
FEDFed decision in Jan 2027?
Jan 27 @ 1:59PM
Fed maintains rate
1.75x57%
Hike 25bps
4.76x21%
Hike >25bps
4.76x21%
Cut 25bps
9.09x11%
$15.8k vol5 markets
FEDFed decision in Apr 2027?
Apr 28 @ 1:59PM
Fed maintains rate
1.49x67%
Cut 25bps
9.09x11%
Hike >25bps
25.00x4%
Hike 25bps
33.33x3%
$9.4k vol5 markets
FEDFed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting?
Mar 17 @ 1:55PM
Above 0.00%
1.01x99%
Above 0.25%
1.01x99%
Above 0.50%
1.02x98%
Above 0.75%
1.08x93%
$22.9k vol18 markets
FEDFed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?
Oct 28 @ 1:55PM
Above 2.75%
1.02x98%
Above 3.00%
1.03x97%
Above 3.25%
1.02x98%
Above 3.50%
1.09x92%
$15.9k vol11 markets
FEDFed decision in Jun 2027?
Jun 9 @ 1:59PM
Fed maintains rate
1.59x63%
Cut 25bps
16.67x6%
Hike 25bps
9.09x11%
Cut >25bps
20.00x5%
$1.7k vol5 markets
FEDWho will dissent at the September Fed meeting?
Sep 16 @ 1:59PM
Beth Hammack
2.00x50%
Neel Kashkari
2.27x44%
Lorie Logan
4.17x24%
Christopher Waller
4.76x21%
$3.7k vol12 markets