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All markets(60)
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Democratic PartyRepublican Party
All markets602028SenateHouseGovernorInternational electionsBrazilPrimaries

Elections

2028

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

Nov 7 @ 10:00AM

Gavin Newsom
6.25x16%
Jon Ossoff
6.67x15%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
7.69x13%
Kamala Harris
10.00x10%
$6.2M vol47 markets
US ELECTIONS

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

Jun 8 @ 7:59PM

Karen Bass
1.52x66%
Nithya Raman
2.94x34%
Spencer Pratt
—0%
Rick Caruso
—0%
$13.3M vol10 markets
2028

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

Nov 7 @ 10:00AM

J.D. Vance
5.26x19%
Marco Rubio
6.67x15%
Gavin Newsom
8.33x12%
Jon Ossoff
9.09x11%
$3.2M vol30 markets
2028

2028 Republican presidential nominee

Nov 7 @ 10:00AM

J.D. Vance
2.38x42%
Marco Rubio
4.00x25%
Ron DeSantis
20.00x5%
Donald J. Trump Jr.
25.00x4%
$3.6M vol38 markets
US ELECTIONS

California Governor winner? (Person)

Jun 9 @ 7:51PM

Xavier Becerra
1.05x95%
Steve Hilton
20.00x5%
Toni Atkins
—0%
Kyle Langford
—0%
$4.8M vol25 markets
ELECTIONS

Will the Citrini scenario happen?

Jul 1 @ 10:00AM

Yes
4.76x21%
$5.4M vol1 market
US ELECTIONS

Which party will win the U.S. House?

Feb 1 @ 10:00AM

Democratic Party
1.18x85%
Republican Party
6.25x16%
$9.5M vol2 markets
PRIMARIES

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

Nov 3 @ 10:00AM

Byron Donalds
1.03x97%
James Fishback
50.00x2%
Jay Collins
100.00x1%
Paul Renner
—0%
$3.0M vol9 markets
TRUMP

Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)

Aug 1 @ 10:00AM

Before January 20, 2029
4.17x24%
Before 2028
6.67x15%
Before 2027
16.67x6%
Before August 1, 2026
—0%
$600.9k vol4 markets
SENATE

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

Feb 1 @ 10:00AM

D-House, D-Senate
2.27x44%
D-House, R-Senate
2.44x41%
R-House, R-Senate
6.25x16%
R-House, D-Senate
100.00x1%
$2.2M vol4 markets
SENATE

Texas Senate winner?

Nov 3 @ 11:00AM

Ken Paxton
1.96x51%
James Talarico
2.04x49%
$3.8M vol2 markets
US ELECTIONS

Which party will win the U.S. Senate?

Feb 1 @ 10:00AM

Republican Party
1.85x54%
Democratic Party
2.13x47%
$3.3M vol2 markets
PRIMARIES

Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Aug 4 @ 10:00AM

Abdul El-Sayed, 0-3%
1.01x99%
Abdul El-Sayed, 3-6%
100.00x1%
Abdul El-Sayed, 6-9%
100.00x1%
Abdul El-Sayed, 9-12%
100.00x1%
$729.2k vol13 markets
INTERNATIONAL

Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Dec 31 @ 9:59AM

Nicolás Maduro
1.28x78%
Delcy Rodríguez
8.33x12%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
25.00x4%
Edmundo González
25.00x4%
$870.7k vol18 markets
PRIMARIES

South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?

Aug 11 @ 10:00AM

Darline Graham
2.13x47%
Russell Fry
3.85x26%
Ralph Norman
4.35x23%
Mark Sanford
33.33x3%
$1.4M vol11 markets
PRIMARIES

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

Nov 3 @ 10:00AM

Francesca Hong
1.06x94%
David Crowley
16.67x6%
Josh Kaul
100.00x1%
Brett Hulsey
—0%
$1.4M vol11 markets
SENATE

Maine Senate winner?

Nov 3 @ 11:00AM

Troy Jackson
1.54x65%
Susan Collins
2.70x37%
$1.9M vol2 markets
BRAZIL

Brazil Presidential election winner?

Oct 25 @ 10:00AM

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
1.47x68%
Flávio Bolsonaro
3.85x26%
Renan Santos
16.67x6%
Ronaldo Caiado
50.00x2%
$584.9k vol13 markets
2028

2028 Democratic VP nominee

Nov 7 @ 10:00AM

Gretchen Whitmer
10.00x10%
Pete Buttigieg
12.50x8%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
11.11x9%
Andy Beshear
14.29x7%
$112.1k vol45 markets
HOUSE

How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

Feb 1 @ 10:00AM

Below 193
5.26x19%
203-207
6.25x16%
198-202
7.14x14%
208-212
7.69x13%
$221.5k vol11 markets
PRIMARIES

Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent

Aug 18 @ 10:00AM

At least 1%
1.00x100%
At least 3%
1.01x99%
At least 5%
1.09x92%
At least 10%
1.59x63%
$1.0M vol7 markets
US ELECTIONS

Which states will redistrict before the midterms?

Nov 1 @ 12:59AM

California
1.03x97%
Texas
1.02x98%
Ohio
1.02x98%
Louisiana
1.03x97%
$715.8k vol25 markets
SENATE

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

Feb 1 @ 10:00AM

Above 52
4.76x21%
50
5.88x17%
51
6.25x16%
49
6.67x15%
$253.1k vol10 markets
US ELECTIONS

Maine Senate winner? (Person)

Jul 7 @ 10:00AM

Troy Jackson
1.54x65%
Susan Collins
2.70x37%
Graham Platner
—0%
Janet Mills
—0%
$377.5k vol16 markets
CONGRESS

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

Nov 3 @ 10:00AM

Before election day 2026
10.00x10%
$180.0k vol1 market
SENATE

North Carolina Senate winner?

Nov 3 @ 11:00AM

Roy Cooper
1.09x92%
Michael Whatley
10.00x10%
$1.1M vol2 markets
2028

2028 Republican VP nominee

Nov 7 @ 10:00AM

Marco Rubio
3.70x27%
J.D. Vance
14.29x7%
Donald J. Trump
20.00x5%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
25.00x4%
$111.3k vol22 markets
INTERNATIONAL ELECTIONS

Clacton by-election winner?

Sep 1 @ 10:00AM

Reform UK
1.01x99%
Conservative Party
100.00x1%
Labour Party
100.00x1%
Restore Britain
100.00x1%
$344.5k vol5 markets
GOVERNOR

California Governor winner?

Nov 3 @ 11:00AM

Xavier Becerra
1.05x95%
Steve Hilton
20.00x5%
$356.9k vol2 markets
SENATE

Georgia Senate winner?

Nov 3 @ 11:00AM

Jon Ossoff
1.10x91%
Mike Collins
11.11x9%
$327.6k vol2 markets
SENATE

Iowa Senate winner?

Nov 3 @ 11:00AM

Ashley Hinson
1.67x60%
Josh Turek
2.44x41%
$520.4k vol2 markets
HOUSE

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

Feb 1 @ 10:00AM

226-229
7.69x13%
234-237
8.33x12%
222-225
9.09x11%
230-233
8.33x12%
$87.4k vol12 markets
PRIMARIES

Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?

Jun 16 @ 10:25PM

Mike Mazzei
1.35x74%
Gentner Drummond
4.00x25%
Matt Pinnell
100.00x1%
Jake Merrick
—0%
$348.2k vol7 markets
GOVERNOR

Ohio Governor winner?

Nov 3 @ 11:00AM

Vivek Ramaswamy
1.96x51%
Amy Acton
2.04x49%
$473.4k vol2 markets
SENATE

Michigan Senate winner?

Nov 3 @ 11:00AM

Abdul El-Sayed
1.72x58%
Mike Rogers
2.27x44%
$429.4k vol2 markets
US ELECTIONS

Michigan Senate winner? (Person)

Nov 3 @ 11:00AM

Abdul El-Sayed
1.85x54%
Mike Rogers
2.17x46%
Mallory McMorrow
100.00x1%
Haley Stevens
100.00x1%
$347.0k vol4 markets
2028

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Gavin Newsom
1.20x83%
Pete Buttigieg
1.23x81%
Rahm Emanuel
1.16x86%
Andy Beshear
1.19x84%
$409.1k vol38 markets
SENATE

Ohio Senate winner?

Nov 3 @ 11:00AM

Sherrod Brown
1.96x51%
Jon Husted
2.00x50%
$353.3k vol2 markets
US ELECTIONS

Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?

Nov 3 @ 12:59AM

In 2026
3.23x31%
$202.1k vol1 market
SENATE

Maine Senate Exact Outcome

Jun 10 @ 10:43AM

Democratic party wins
1.56x64%
Republican party wins
2.78x36%
First Dem Nominee: Janet Mills, General Election Winner: Republican
100.00x1%
First Dem Nominee: Janet Mills, General Election Winner: Democrat
—0%
$322.6k vol4 markets
INTERNATIONAL

Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?

Jun 1 @ 10:00AM

Before September 1, 2026
25.00x4%
Before July 1, 2026
100.00x1%
Before August 1, 2026
100.00x1%
Before June 1, 2026
—0%
$7.6k vol4 markets
PRIMARIES

Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?

Nov 3 @ 10:00AM

Mike Lindell
1.54x65%
Lisa Demuth
3.23x31%
Kendall Qualls
50.00x2%
Chris Madel
100.00x1%
$309.0k vol8 markets
US ELECTIONS

Who will drop out of their election?

May 25 @ 11:59PM

Sara Rodriguez
1.01x99%
Mandela Barnes
1.01x99%
Chuck Edwards
1.01x99%
Max Miller (before 8/11)
6.67x15%
$60.0k vol15 markets
SENATE

South Carolina Senate winner?

Nov 3 @ 11:00AM

Republican party
1.14x88%
Annie Andrews
7.69x13%
$286.5k vol2 markets
SENATE

Nebraska Senate winner?

Nov 3 @ 11:00AM

Pete Ricketts
1.39x72%
Dan Osborn
3.45x29%
Cindy Burbank
100.00x1%
$247.0k vol3 markets
GOVERNOR

Texas Governor winner?

Nov 3 @ 11:00AM

Greg Abbott
1.18x85%
Gina Hinojosa
6.67x15%
$142.1k vol2 markets
2028

2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party)

Nov 7 @ 10:00AM

Democratic party
1.72x58%
Republican party
2.38x42%
$260.8k vol2 markets
GOVERNOR

New York Governor winner?

Nov 3 @ 11:00AM

Kathy Hochul
1.08x93%
Bruce Blakeman
11.11x9%
$178.5k vol2 markets
PRIMARIES

FL-25 Democratic nominee?

Nov 3 @ 11:00AM

Jared Moskowitz
1.18x85%
Oliver Larkin
6.67x15%
Debbie Wasserman Schultz
100.00x1%
$165.6k vol3 markets
PRIMARIES

Minnesota Democratic Governor nominee?

Aug 11 @ 10:00AM

Amy Klobuchar
1.00x100%
Dean Phillips
—0%
Tim Walz
—0%
Bill Gates Jr.
—0%
$143.9k vol10 markets
SENATE

Alaska Senate winner?

Nov 3 @ 11:00AM

Democratic party
1.82x55%
Republican party
2.17x46%
$248.5k vol2 markets
GOVERNOR

Georgia Governor winner?

Nov 3 @ 11:00AM

Keisha Lance Bottoms
1.69x59%
Rick Jackson
2.27x44%
$246.1k vol2 markets
GOVERNOR

Arizona Governor winner?

Nov 3 @ 11:00AM

Katie Hobbs
1.19x84%
Andy Biggs
5.56x18%
$264.7k vol2 markets
PRIMARIES

Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?

Nov 3 @ 10:00AM

Peggy Flanagan
1.32x76%
Angie Craig
3.85x26%
Melisa López Franzen
100.00x1%
Keith Ellison
100.00x1%
$232.8k vol9 markets
PRIMARIES

How many Senate Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?

May 26 @ 9:23PM

3
1.96x51%
2
2.08x48%
4 or more
50.00x2%
1
—0%
$114.8k vol4 markets
2028

Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

J.D. Vance
1.27x79%
Ted Cruz
1.37x73%
Marco Rubio
1.64x61%
Ron DeSantis
1.69x59%
$159.0k vol35 markets
PRIMARIES

FL-06 Republican nominee?

Aug 18 @ 10:00AM

Randy Fine
1.03x97%
Aaron Baker
50.00x2%
Ernest Audino
100.00x1%
Daniel Bilzerian
100.00x1%
$61.3k vol6 markets
GOVERNOR

Wisconsin Governor winner?

Nov 3 @ 11:00AM

Republican party
1.64x61%
Democratic party
2.56x39%
$182.7k vol2 markets
SENATE

Maine-Texas Senate Combo

Nov 3 @ 10:00AM

James Talarico and Troy Jackson
2.33x43%
Ken Paxton and Susan Collins
3.45x29%
Ken Paxton and Troy Jackson
4.17x24%
James Talarico and Susan Collins
10.00x10%
$62.0k vol6 markets
GOVERNOR

Pennsylvania Governor winner?

Nov 3 @ 11:00AM

Josh Shapiro
1.08x93%
Stacy Garrity
12.50x8%
$52.0k vol2 markets