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All markets(24)
Congress
International
Iran
Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
All markets24CongressInternationalIranLocalNYCRecurringSCOTUS & courtsTrump

NYC

NYC

Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Before 2030
2.78x36%
Before 2029
3.13x32%
Before 2028
4.35x23%
Before 2027
20.00x5%
$5.2k vol4 markets
NYC

NYC population change (July 2025 โ€“ July 2027)?

May 31 @ 11:59PM

Increase 0.01-0.99%
2.17x46%
Decrease 0-0.99%
2.94x34%
Increase 1-1.99%
10.00x10%
Decrease 1-1.99%
11.11x9%
$16.1k vol8 markets
NYC

Will Mamdani tax billionaires before 2027?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Yes
9.09x11%
$7.8k vol1 market
NYC

Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Yes
20.00x5%
$2.0k vol1 market
NYC

Will Mamdani establish universal child care before 2027?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Yes
8.33x12%
$4.2k vol1 market
NYC

Will Mamdani open a city-owned grocery store before 2028?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Before Jan 2028
1.23x81%
$27.4k vol1 market
NYC

Will Mamdani establish a Department of Community Safety before 2027?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Yes
10.00x10%
$3.0k vol1 market
NYC

Will NYC buses become free before 2027?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

In 2026
10.00x10%
$2.9k vol1 market
NYC

Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (8/2 - 8/8)

Aug 9 @ 9:59AM

Above 0
50.00x2%
$456 vol1 market
NYC

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Yes
20.00x5%
$902 vol1 market
NYC

Will Mamdani raise property taxes?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Yes
11.11x9%
$1.1k vol1 market
NYC

Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City before October?

Oct 1 @ 10:00AM

Yes
1.19x84%
$5.9k vol1 market
NYC

Will NYCโ€™s rent freeze take effect on October 1?

Oct 1 @ 11:59PM

Yes
1.12x89%
$4.4k vol1 market
NYC

Will congestion pricing in NYC end before 2027?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

In 2027
50.00x2%
$22 vol1 market
NYC

What will Mamdaniโ€™s NYC favorability be in Sienaโ€™s next poll?

Jan 1 @ 9:59AM

At least 52%
1.27x79%
At least 54%
1.20x83%
At least 56%
1.19x84%
At least 58%
1.43x70%
$64 vol8 markets
NYC

How many N.Y.C. Groceries stores will open before 2029?

Jan 1 @ 9:59AM

At least 1
1.14x88%
At least 2
1.27x79%
At least 3
1.43x70%
At least 4
1.67x60%
$0 vol5 markets
NYC

Single adult NYC homeless shelter average stay in FY2027?

Oct 1 @ 9:59AM

Above 275 days
1.10x91%
Above 300 days
1.15x87%
Above 325 days
1.22x82%
Above 350 days
1.30x77%
$0 vol9 markets
NYC

How many affordable homes will NYC finance in FY2027?

Sep 17 @ 9:59AM

Above 15,000
1.15x87%
Above 20,000
1.30x77%
Above 25,000
1.49x67%
Above 30,000
1.75x57%
$0 vol5 markets
NYC

How many 2-K seats will NYC make available for 2027โ€“28?

Sep 1 @ 9:59AM

Above 4,000
1.33x75%
Above 6,000
1.89x53%
Above 8,000
2.56x39%
Above 10,000
4.00x25%
$0 vol7 markets
NYC

NYPD uniformed headcount at the end of 2026?

Jun 1 @ 9:59AM

Above 34,250
1.12x89%
Above 34,500
1.23x81%
Above 34,750
1.59x63%
Above 35,000
2.17x46%
$0 vol7 markets
NYC

How many new housing units will NYC permit in 2026?

Apr 1 @ 9:59AM

Above 23,000
1.35x74%
Above 26,000
1.96x51%
Above 29,000
4.76x21%
Above 32,000
100.00x1%
$0 vol7 markets
NYC

What will NYCโ€™s average daily shelter census be in December 2026?

Mar 1 @ 9:59AM

Above 86,000
1.14x88%
Above 88,000
1.25x80%
Above 90,000
1.39x72%
Above 92,000
1.67x60%
$0 vol8 markets
NYC

What will NYCโ€™s average weekday bus speed be in December 2026?

Feb 1 @ 9:59AM

At least 8 mph
1.16x86%
At least 8.1 mph
1.37x73%
At least 8.2 mph
1.64x61%
At least 8.3 mph
3.23x31%
$0 vol6 markets
NYC

Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026?

Jan 8 @ 9:59AM

Above 170 million
100.00x1%
Above 175 million
100.00x1%
Above 180 million
100.00x1%
Above 185 million
100.00x1%
$0 vol5 markets