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All markets(24)
Congress
International
Iran
Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
All markets24CongressInternationalIranLocalNYCRecurringSCOTUS & courtsTrump

NYC

NYC

Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Before 2030
2.27x44%
Before 2029
2.56x39%
Before 2028
5.00x20%
Before 2027
25.00x4%
$4.5k vol4 markets
NYC

NYC population change (July 2025 โ€“ July 2027)?

May 31 @ 11:59PM

Increase 0.01-0.99%
2.27x44%
Decrease 0-0.99%
2.70x37%
Increase 1-1.99%
16.67x6%
Decrease 2-2.99%
33.33x3%
$16.5k vol8 markets
NYC

Will Mamdani tax billion-dollar incomes in 2026?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Yes
14.29x7%
$5.6k vol1 market
NYC

How high will gas prices in New York get this year?

Dec 31 @ 9:55AM

Above $5.00
1.82x55%
Above $4.80
1.37x73%
Above $5.20
3.33x30%
Above $5.40
5.88x17%
$28.4k vol8 markets
NYC

Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City before October?

Oct 1 @ 10:00AM

Yes
1.10x91%
$52.3k vol1 market
NYC

Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Yes
8.33x12%
$5.1k vol1 market
NYC

Will Mamdani establish universal child care before 2027?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Yes
10.00x10%
$3.9k vol1 market
NYC

Will Mamdani open a city-owned grocery store before 2028?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Before Jan 2028
1.25x80%
$29.0k vol1 market
NYC

Will Mamdani establish a Department of Community Safety before 2027?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Yes
7.69x13%
$4.0k vol1 market
NYC

Will NYC buses become free before 2027?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

In 2026
50.00x2%
$615 vol1 market
NYC

Will NYCโ€™s rent freeze take effect on October 1?

Oct 1 @ 11:59PM

Yes
1.10x91%
$22.3k vol1 market
NYC

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Yes
9.09x11%
$2.2k vol1 market
NYC

How low will gas prices in New York get this year?

Dec 31 @ 9:55AM

Below $2.90
16.67x6%
Below $2.80
7.14x14%
Below $2.70
100.00x1%
Below $2.60
16.67x6%
$1.5k vol5 markets
NYC

Will Zohran Mamdani announce his departure as Mayor of New York City?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Before Jan 1, 2030
2.94x34%
Before Jan 1, 2029
6.25x16%
Before Jan 1, 2027
33.33x3%
Before Jan 1, 2028
12.50x8%
$1.1k vol4 markets
NYC

Will Mamdani raise property taxes?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Yes
7.14x14%
$2.4k vol1 market
NYC

Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (9/13 - 9/19)

Sep 20 @ 9:59AM

Above 0
20.00x5%
$671 vol1 market
NYC

Will congestion pricing in NYC end before 2027?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

In 2027
50.00x2%
$24 vol1 market
NYC

What will NYCโ€™s average daily shelter census be in December 2026?

Mar 1 @ 9:59AM

Above 86,000
1.05x95%
Above 88,000
1.06x94%
Above 90,000
1.08x93%
Above 92,000
1.08x93%
$427 vol8 markets
NYC

NYPD uniformed headcount at the end of 2026?

Jun 1 @ 9:59AM

Above 34,750
9.09x11%
Above 35,500
9.09x11%
Above 34,500
11.11x9%
Above 35,750
20.00x5%
$276 vol7 markets
NYC

Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026?

Jan 8 @ 9:59AM

Above 180 million
5.26x19%
Above 190 million
20.00x5%
Above 170 million
1.27x79%
Above 175 million
50.00x2%
$49 vol5 markets
NYC

Single adult NYC homeless shelter average stay in FY2027?

Oct 1 @ 9:59AM

Above 275 days
1.11x90%
Above 300 days
1.18x85%
Above 325 days
1.25x80%
Above 350 days
1.20x83%
$171 vol9 markets
NYC

What will NYCโ€™s average weekday bus speed be in December 2026?

Feb 1 @ 9:59AM

At least 8.1 mph
1.37x73%
At least 8 mph
1.45x69%
At least 8.3 mph
3.23x31%
At least 8.5 mph
12.50x8%
$64 vol6 markets
NYC

What will Mamdaniโ€™s NYC favorability be in Sienaโ€™s next poll?

Jan 1 @ 9:59AM

At least 56%
1.14x88%
At least 58%
1.27x79%
At least 60%
1.43x70%
At least 62%
1.64x61%
$28 vol9 markets
NYC

How many new housing units will NYC permit in 2026?

Apr 1 @ 9:59AM

Above 23,000
1.39x72%
Above 26,000
1.72x58%
Above 29,000
5.00x20%
Above 32,000
50.00x2%
$17 vol7 markets