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AI

AI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Dec 31 @ 10:00AM

Claude
1.52x66%
ChatGPT
5.88x17%
Gemini
14.29x7%
Grok
20.00x5%
$1.7M vol8 markets
AI

When will Anthropic release Mythos?

Jun 14 @ 11:59PM

Before Jan 1, 2027
5.88x17%
Before Dec 1, 2026
8.33x12%
Before Nov 1, 2026
10.00x10%
Before Oct 1, 2026
20.00x5%
$97.0k vol8 markets
AI

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Dec 31 @ 10:00AM

Anthropic
1.61x62%
OpenAI
3.23x31%
xAI
11.11x9%
Google
50.00x2%
$218.4k vol9 markets
AI

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Dec 31 @ 11:59PM

Before 2030
2.56x39%
Before 2028
5.56x18%
Before 2027
20.00x5%
$108.6k vol3 markets
AI

When will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?

Jun 29 @ 11:59PM

Before Aug 31, 2026
1.89x53%
Before Aug 21, 2026
4.35x23%
Before Aug 16, 2026
12.50x8%
Before Jul 10, 2026
20.00x5%
$61.2k vol10 markets
AI

Tesla Optimus released this year?

Dec 30 @ 11:59PM

Before 2027
7.69x13%
$44.6k vol1 market
AI

When will OpenAI release GPT-6?

May 31 @ 11:59PM

Before 2027
1.16x86%
Before Nov 1, 2026
1.49x67%
Before Oct 1, 2026
1.72x58%
Before Sep 1, 2026
5.88x17%
$135.7k vol7 markets
AI

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

OpenAI
2.78x36%
xAI
5.26x19%
Moonshot AI
6.67x15%
Meta
7.14x14%
$64.8k vol12 markets
AI

Best AI this week

Aug 10 @ 10:00AM

Claude
1.01x99%
MUSE
50.00x2%
Gemini
100.00x1%
ChatGPT
100.00x1%
$49.9k vol9 markets
AI

Top AI model this week

Aug 10 @ 10:00AM

claude-opus-5-max
1.04x96%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
100.00x1%
claude-opus-5-high
50.00x2%
claude-opus-4-7
100.00x1%
$12.8k vol5 markets
AI

Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Before 2027
11.11x9%
$10.8k vol1 market
AI

Best AI in Aug 2026?

Aug 31 @ 10:00AM

Claude
1.08x93%
ChatGPT
16.67x6%
Gemini
33.33x3%
Grok
100.00x1%
$24.4k vol7 markets
AI

Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Claude
4.55x22%
ChatGPT
20.00x5%
Other
25.00x4%
Gemini
33.33x3%
$12.6k vol8 markets
AI

Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Before 2027
4.17x24%
$23.0k vol1 market
AI

Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?

Jun 22 @ 12:45PM

Above $1.29
1.01x99%
Above $1.59
1.01x99%
Above $1.89
1.01x99%
Above $2.19
1.01x99%
$82.4k vol20 markets
AI

AI capability growth this year?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

At least 1520 score
1.67x60%
At least 1530 score
2.38x42%
At least 1540 score
3.23x31%
At least 1550 score
4.55x22%
$18.2k vol8 markets
AI

Will Meta release Llama 5 this year?

Jan 1 @ 10:00AM

Before 2027
9.09x11%
$8.3k vol1 market
AI

When will Anthropic release the next Mythos-Class model?

Jul 31 @ 11:59PM

Before Oct 1, 2026
1.52x66%
Before Nov 1, 2026
1.56x64%
Before Sep 1, 2026
5.00x20%
Before Aug 14, 2026
11.11x9%
$35.4k vol5 markets
AI

Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?

Jun 22 @ 11:58AM

Above $6.47
1.01x99%
Above $6.77
1.01x99%
Above $3.47
1.02x98%
Above $4.37
1.02x98%
$69.3k vol30 markets
AI

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?

Dec 31 @ 10:00AM

Tampa, FL
1.25x80%
San Diego, CA
1.32x76%
Las Vegas, NV
1.35x74%
Denver, CO
1.41x71%
$30.5k vol10 markets
AI

When will xAI release Grok 5?

Jun 30 @ 11:59PM

Before 2027
1.45x69%
Before September
10.00x10%
Before July
20.00x5%
Before October
11.11x9%
$7.4k vol4 markets
AI

Top AI model in August

Aug 31 @ 10:00AM

claude-opus-5-max
1.33x75%
claude-opus-5-high
6.25x16%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
20.00x5%
claude-opus-4-7
100.00x1%
$4.0k vol5 markets
AI

When will OpenAI release Astra?

Aug 13 @ 11:59PM

Before Dec 1, 2026
1.05x95%
Before Nov 1, 2026
1.08x93%
Before Oct 16, 2026
1.10x91%
Before Oct 1, 2026
1.39x72%
$11.8k vol8 markets
AI

When will SpaceXAI release Grok 4.6?

Aug 5 @ 11:59PM

Before Aug 15, 2026
1.14x88%
Before Aug 13, 2026
1.23x81%
Before Aug 11, 2026
25.00x4%
Before Aug 8, 2026
20.00x5%
$3.9k vol8 markets