Physics & Math
PHYSICS & MATHWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
Jan 1 @ 10:00AM
Before 2035
2.86x35%
Before 2032
4.35x23%
Before 2030
5.26x19%
Before 2028
16.67x6%
$12.6k vol4 markets
PHYSICS & MATHWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
Jan 1 @ 10:00PM
Before 2035
1.33x75%
Before 2030
1.18x85%
Before 2029
5.26x19%
Before 2028
11.11x9%
$14.4k vol5 markets
PHYSICS & MATHWhen will nuclear fusion be achieved?
Dec 31 @ 11:59PM
Before 2040
1.72x58%
Before 2035
2.04x49%
Before 2030
3.03x33%
$18.3k vol3 markets
PHYSICS & MATHWhen will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
Dec 31 @ 11:59PM
Before 2040
1.54x65%
Before 2035
1.67x60%
Before 2030
2.56x39%
Before 2027
50.00x2%
$10.8k vol4 markets
PHYSICS & MATH2026 Nobel Physics winner?
Jan 1 @ 10:00AM
Alexei Kitaev
3.57x28%
John Preskill
4.55x22%
Charles Kane
4.17x24%
Yves Meyer
7.14x14%
$1.4k vol24 markets
PHYSICS & MATHNear room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026?
Jan 1 @ 11:59PM
Yes
50.00x2%
$62 vol1 market
PHYSICS & MATHNobel Prize in Economics 2026
Oct 13 @ 11:59PM
Ariel Pakes
5.00x20%
Robert Barro
14.29x7%
Richard Blundell
14.29x7%
Susan Athey
14.29x7%
$178 vol9 markets
PHYSICS & MATHNobel Prize in Literature: 2026
Oct 9 @ 11:59PM
Amitav Ghosh
10.00x10%
Salman Rushdie
11.11x9%
Can Xue
7.69x13%
Haruki Murakami
11.11x9%
$107 vol10 markets