GOVTSP / ONE TIME

Government spending increase in 2026

At least $400 billionAt least $500 billionAt least $300 billionAt least $750 billionAt least $1 trillion

Kalshi

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$8,232 vol

Target Price: $1,000,000,000.0064%Yes —No —

PriceContractsTotal

Trade YesLast 64¢

No resting orders on this market.

OutcomeChanceBuy

ALAt least $400 billion

64%▼ 2

Yes 63.6¢No 36¢

ALAt least $500 billion

40%

Yes 40¢No 60¢

ALAt least $300 billion

84%▲ 2

Yes 84¢No 16¢

Important information: Each quarter during Q1 2026 to Q4 2026 is compared against the Q4 2025 baseline.

Target Price: $1,000,000,000.00

Resolves Yes if government spending increases by at least $1 billion above the Q4 2025 level in any quarter during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Each quarter during Q1 2026 to Q4 2026 is compared against the Q4 2025 baseline.

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Government spending increase in 2026

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