MAMDAN / ANNUAL

What will Mamdani’s NYC favorability be in Siena’s next poll?

At least 60%At least 58%At least 66%At least 64%At least 52%

Kalshi

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$138 vol

Target Price: $52.0045%Yes —No —

PriceContractsTotal

Trade YesLast 45¢

No resting orders on this market.

OutcomeChanceBuy

ALAt least 60%

45%▼ 2

Yes 45¢No 55¢

ALAt least 58%

70%

Yes 70¢No 30¢

ALAt least 66%

8%▲ 2

Yes 8¢No 92¢

Target Price: $52.00

Resolves Yes if the percentage of New York City respondents who say they have a favorable opinion of Zohran Mamdani in Siena University’s poll is at least 52 in the first such poll released after July 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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What will Mamdani’s NYC favorability be in Siena’s next poll?

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