PRIMAR / ANNUAL
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Important information: The margin of victory is the vote share received by Marsha Blackburn minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Marsha Blackburn if Marsha Blackburn wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Marsha Blackburn loses. If Marsha Blackburn wins, the margin will be positive; if Marsha Blackburn loses, the margin will be negative; if Marsha Blackburn ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Marsha Blackburn runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
Target Price: $3.00
iResolves Yes if the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 3% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
The margin of victory is the vote share received by Marsha Blackburn minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Marsha Blackburn if Marsha Blackburn wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Marsha Blackburn loses. If Marsha Blackburn wins, the margin will be positive; if Marsha Blackburn loses, the margin will be negative; if Marsha Blackburn ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Marsha Blackburn runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.