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Trading involves risk and may not be appropriate for everyone. Members can lose the full cost of entering any transaction, including fees. Consider carefully whether trading is suitable for you in light of your financial resources and experience. All trading decisions are your own responsibility and made at your own risk; information is provided for convenience on an "as is" basis. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This site is an unaffiliated frontend demo built for educational purposes and is not the real Kalshi exchange — no markets, funds, or orders are real.

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TRUMPA / ANNUAL

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Kash PatelPete HegsethTulsi GabbardTodd BlancheHoward Lutnick
Kalshi
Loading chart…
$5,038,632 vol
26%Yes —No —
PriceContractsTotal
Trade YesLast 26¢

No resting orders on this market.

OutcomeChanceBuy
KPKash Patel
26%▼ 2
Yes 26¢No 74¢
PHPete Hegseth
25%
Yes 25¢No 75¢
TGTulsi Gabbard
100%▲ 2
Yes 99.5¢No 1¢

Important information: Kash Patel must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.

i

Resolves Yes if Kash Patel leaves as Director of the FBI before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kash Patel must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.

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Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

TKash Patel
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Dollars
$
Odds$26% chance
Max payout
Jan 1, 2027
$0
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Settles Jan 1, 2027

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